Tennis · resolved market
ITF Ceska Lipa: Martha Matoula vs Anna Dvorackova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6d505c636d29eab1c913c879fa3fb6c6173376d64df99498ae080c78cfd638ef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Martha Matoulaof Martha Matoula, Anna Dvorackova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,968
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,680
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,968 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Anna Dvorackova | 31c | 3,388$1,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,041.31 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Anna Dvorackova | 29c | 2,597$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.3 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Martha Matoula | 75c | 1,636$1,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.83 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Anna Dvorackova | 14c | 950.08$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.34 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd441…87febacked Martha Matoula | 78c | 941.06$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.79 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Anna Dvorackova | 20c | 893.18$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.76 | 653 | 46.4%303 W · 350 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Martha Matoula | 73c | 851.51$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.85 | 1,076 | 60.4%650 W · 426 L | +24.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Anna Dvorackova | 22c | 664.28$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.43 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Martha Matoula | 79c | 603.63$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.47 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Martha Matoula | 76c | 511$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.64 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Anna Dvorackova | 10c | 486.02$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.74 | 1,379 | 16.4%226 W · 1,153 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Anna Dvorackova | 10c | 329.06$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.81 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Anna Dvorackova | 25c | 322.39$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.49 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Anna Dvorackova | 10c | 239$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.9 | 194 | 11.9%23 W · 171 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Anna Dvorackova | 28c | 224.99$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Anna Dvorackova | 26c | 180.87$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.39 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Anna Dvorackova | 30c | 142.37$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.88 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Anna Dvorackova | 40c | 80.32$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.13 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Anna Dvorackova | 41c | 79.21$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.47 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Anna Dvorackova | 40c | 76.63$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.66 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda33…cd9abacked Martha Matoula | 74c | 66.55$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.38 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Martha Matoula | 79c | 54.41$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.17 | 435 | 52.9%230 W · 205 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c97…5c66backed Martha Matoula | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 483 | 55.1%266 W · 217 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c7…3b08backed Anna Dvorackova | 76c | 35.63$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 509 | 58%295 W · 214 L | -26.5wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeff4…2aa4backed Martha Matoula | 78c | 35.1$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.76 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Martha Matoula | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 830 | 47%390 W · 440 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Anna Dvorackova | 36c | 28.44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 156 | 5.8%9 W · 147 L | -32.4wins | -0.21per pick | 27cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 30-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6b…ec86backed Anna Dvorackova | 40c | 27.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1,062 | 31.8%338 W · 724 L | -27.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Martha Matoula | 58c | 24.72$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.38 | 917 | 55.5%509 W · 408 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Martha Matoula | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.4 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.