Lol · resolved market

Game Handicap: KCB (-1.5) vs Forsaken (+1.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6d53602868e1bfacb606758738abd0a6298f80394be130e1f4c696008a52e338

Rebuilt 1 hour ago.

Winning outcome: Karmine Corp Blueof Karmine Corp Blue, Forsaken
Resolved: Jun 12, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $49,096
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $58,226

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,096 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Lol
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x1f03…b1bebacked Forsaken	50c	7,087$3,534 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,534.07	1,132	52.5%594 W · 538 L	+7.0wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked Forsaken	40c	6,335$2,556 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,556.27	1,502	50.3%756 W · 746 L	+71.2wins	+0.05per pick	46cpaid	+6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x95b8…47c9backed Karmine Corp Blue	50c	6,000$3,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,000	669	47.8%320 W · 349 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed Karmine Corp Blue	48c	5,774$2,787 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,987	1,320	38.6%510 W · 810 L	-66.0wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7af0…509dbacked Karmine Corp Blue	56c	1,800$1,008 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$792	256	68.4%175 W · 81 L	+14.7wins	+0.06per pick	63cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9ff4…d731backed Karmine Corp Blue	50c	1,764$882 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$882.24	52	34.6%18 W · 34 L	-5.9wins	-0.11per pick	46cpaid	-33.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4f4e…b690backed Karmine Corp Blue	51c	1,460$750 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$709.99	829	54.5%452 W · 377 L	+3.3wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdfa8…cae6backed Karmine Corp Blue	49c	1,325$650 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$675.28	829	53.4%443 W · 386 L	-3.7wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1316…48a4backed Karmine Corp Blue	52c	1,139$588 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$551.47	474	55.3%262 W · 212 L	-10.6wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6376…0d2abacked Forsaken	49c	1,126$548 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$547.84	283	41%116 W · 167 L	-13.6wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e32…ab65backed Forsaken	46c	1,028$477 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$477.26	2,178	53.4%1,164 W · 1,014 L	+61.6wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3cec…d241backed Karmine Corp Blue	51c	980.39$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$480.39	35	60%21 W · 14 L	+5.4wins	+0.16per pick	44cpaid	+37.5%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc1d9…5333backed Karmine Corp Blue	49c	878.49$434 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$444.33	594	59.1%351 W · 243 L	+26.4wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6da3…95a0backed Karmine Corp Blue	49c	865$424 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$441.15	24	62.5%15 W · 9 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	59cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4068…aeb1backed Karmine Corp Blue	50c	772$386 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$386	154	31.8%49 W · 105 L	-18.7wins	-0.12per pick	44cpaid	-33.5%equal weight	38-0.10 edge/pick
0x6918…782bbacked Forsaken	53c	765.84$406 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$406.02	1,522	54.7%832 W · 690 L	+37.3wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Forsaken	48c	700$338 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$338	1,802	51.2%923 W · 879 L	+53.1wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb908…7292backed Karmine Corp Blue	49c	611$299 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$311.61	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.6wins	+0.09per pick	48cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Forsaken	50c	600$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	1,182	44.8%530 W · 652 L	+11.6wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24d4…4e1dbacked Karmine Corp Blue	48c	566.42$270 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$296.42	271	42.4%115 W · 156 L	-15.1wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6e54…511ebacked Forsaken	45c	501.24$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$225.14	420	42.4%178 W · 242 L	-9.3wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f2a…3706backed Karmine Corp Blue	57c	500$285 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$215	30	30%9 W · 21 L	-3.0wins	-0.10per pick	40cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe84a…02febacked Karmine Corp Blue	49c	500$245 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$255	42	52.4%22 W · 20 L	+2.8wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	+17.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Karmine Corp Blue	58c	500$290 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$210	595	48.2%287 W · 308 L	+15.2wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc99…e947backed Karmine Corp Blue	47c	458$213 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$244.74	64	34.4%22 W · 42 L	-5.3wins	-0.08per pick	43cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc397…bb3bbacked Karmine Corp Blue	48c	418.33$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$218.33	1,675	59.3%993 W · 682 L	+96.8wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Forsaken	41c	417.94$171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$171.36	211	50.7%107 W · 104 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x8e34…4480backed Forsaken	40c	386.99$157 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$156.65	413	43.8%181 W · 232 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Forsaken	49c	363.16$179 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$179.25	386	40.4%156 W · 230 L	-17.7wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa415…6fb9backed Karmine Corp Blue	50c	351$176 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$175.47	268	56.7%152 W · 116 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2578…b2a6backed Karmine Corp Blue	51c	346.86$177 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$169.96	62	45.2%28 W · 34 L	-3.4wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-21%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x18c6…a4dbbacked Forsaken	51c	300$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153	80	58.8%47 W · 33 L	+4.0wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+11%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd10f…bef4backed Forsaken	52c	288.18$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	36	44.4%16 W · 20 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee5a…9f70backed Karmine Corp Blue	40c	283.83$114 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$170.3	12	50%6 W · 6 L	+1.7wins	+0.14per pick	36cpaid	+24.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Karmine Corp Blue	60c	252$151 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100.8	200	59%118 W · 82 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	58cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7029…1136backed Karmine Corp Blue	48c	202.45$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$105.27	166	45.8%76 W · 90 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbecc…5672backed Karmine Corp Blue	54c	202.09$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.09	49	34.7%17 W · 32 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Forsaken	52c	200$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103	797	45.8%365 W · 432 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbbb4…0060backed Forsaken	40c	200$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	227	48.9%111 W · 116 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bac…d241backed Karmine Corp Blue	50c	198.28$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$99.28	206	31.6%65 W · 141 L	-8.8wins	-0.04per pick	36cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x47c6…2fe4backed Forsaken	51c	196$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.96	566	50%283 W · 283 L	-14.5wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7d8…a577backed Karmine Corp Blue	47c	190$89 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100.7	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbb42…6e09backed Forsaken	50c	176$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88	205	51.7%106 W · 99 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6436…da96backed Forsaken	50c	160$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	118	54.2%64 W · 54 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb8…e969backed Karmine Corp Blue	49c	140$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.4	1,246	52.6%656 W · 590 L	+4.8wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3f41…5ffcbacked Karmine Corp Blue	45c	131.18$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.35	239	48.1%115 W · 124 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0612…559abacked Forsaken	48c	121$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.08	185	60.5%112 W · 73 L	+5.4wins	+0.03per pick	58cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Forsaken	53c	110$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.82	619	46.5%288 W · 331 L	-5.4wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Forsaken	52c	108.79$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.87	655	44.1%289 W · 366 L	-21.3wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d28…0d64backed Karmine Corp Blue	53c	108$57 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.84	151	43.7%66 W · 85 L	-13.8wins	-0.09per pick	53cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Forsaken	49c	100$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49	1,456	13.2%192 W · 1,264 L	-111.9wins	-0.08per pick	21cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed Forsaken	43c	100$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43	584	37.2%217 W · 367 L	-7.9wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d38…6f08backed Karmine Corp Blue	50c	100$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	629	49.9%314 W · 315 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Forsaken	54c	100$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	164	62.2%102 W · 62 L	+10.4wins	+0.06per pick	56cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Forsaken	49c	98.78$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.03	2,984	44.5%1,329 W · 1,655 L	-94.6wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9629…ee15backed Forsaken	51c	95.13$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.52	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Karmine Corp Blue	72c	87.3$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.45	1,004	54.5%547 W · 457 L	+49.8wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x54d1…13f4backed Karmine Corp Blue	59c	85$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.85	76	53.9%41 W · 35 L	+2.2wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e7c…164dbacked Karmine Corp Blue	50c	79.6$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.88	447	43.6%195 W · 252 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa6df…588cbacked Karmine Corp Blue	49c	71$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.21	114	50%57 W · 57 L	-5.2wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed Forsaken	52c	70.36$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.59	160	48.1%77 W · 83 L	-3.8wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x294b…22d2backed Forsaken	43c	58.42$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.12	574	49.7%285 W · 289 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5ea2…370cbacked Forsaken	50c	58$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29	474	34.8%165 W · 309 L	-9.9wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a9a…72e7backed Forsaken	39c	57.25$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.39	239	46%110 W · 129 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x349e…867bbacked Forsaken	46c	57.18$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.14	320	53.8%172 W · 148 L	+21.9wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3fd1…17ccbacked Karmine Corp Blue	51c	50$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.5	601	24.1%145 W · 456 L	-8.5wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Karmine Corp Blue	51c	50$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.5	360	48.9%176 W · 184 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ca8…7e67backed Forsaken	47c	50$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.5	33	30.3%10 W · 23 L	-2.5wins	-0.08per pick	38cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed Forsaken	48c	49.06$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.4	1,577	48.4%764 W · 813 L	+17.8wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99be…3622backed Forsaken	50c	46.15$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.08	86	27.9%24 W · 62 L	-13.2wins	-0.15per pick	43cpaid	-42.7%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0x5423…8b45backed Forsaken	46c	44.7$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.48	113	52.2%59 W · 54 L	+7.2wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Karmine Corp Blue	45c	40$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22	248	32.3%80 W · 168 L	-11.7wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xae82…faf0backed Forsaken	53c	38$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.14	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+1.8wins	+0.14per pick	47cpaid	+40.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfce8…2686backed Forsaken	50c	32$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	150	60.7%91 W · 59 L	-8.1wins	-0.05per pick	66cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Forsaken	53c	30$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.9	751	50.7%381 W · 370 L	+3.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x1c8f…de8abacked Forsaken	49c	30$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.7	795	45.3%360 W · 435 L	-23.2wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee16…16a2backed Karmine Corp Blue	56c	30$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.2	210	54.8%115 W · 95 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f1d…2fb6backed Karmine Corp Blue	51c	26.93$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.23	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	-3.4wins	-0.18per pick	60cpaid	-33%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6748…3c4cbacked Forsaken	50c	25.01$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.51	119	49.6%59 W · 60 L	-4.8wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b9e…cb21backed Forsaken	51c	25$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.75	30	50%15 W · 15 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Karmine Corp Blue	53c	25$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.75	1,239	37.3%462 W · 777 L	-39.2wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-27%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Karmine Corp Blue	57c	18.95$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.15	1,343	49%658 W · 685 L	-26.3wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Game Handicap: KCB (-1.5) vs Forsaken (+1.5)this page
Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group BKarmine Corp Blue won
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 1 WinnerKarmine Corp Blue won
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 2 WinnerKarmine Corp Blue won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Game Handicap: KCB (-1.5) vs Forsaken (+1.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event