Tennis · resolved market
Parma: Solana Sierra vs Carole Monnet
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6d71480fb54959cf1ad65d6c89d8c7c9237028397defac7168fb2f7f080ea6df
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Solana Sierraof Solana Sierra, Carole Monnet
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,614
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,883
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,614 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x710c…78eabacked Solana Sierra | 79c | 4,402$3,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$905.7 | 1,040 | 58.2%605 W · 435 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Carole Monnet | 22c | 3,229$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.19 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Carole Monnet | 16c | 1,846$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.21 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Carole Monnet | 13c | 1,740$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.99 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Carole Monnet | 15c | 1,370$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.47 | 2,049 | 46.8%958 W · 1,091 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Carole Monnet | 14c | 1,064$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.14 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4c…ad2fbacked Carole Monnet | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Carole Monnet | 16c | 569.31$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.09 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Carole Monnet | 19c | 515.83$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.41 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Carole Monnet | 17c | 499.99$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.77 | 2,229 | 45%1,002 W · 1,227 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Carole Monnet | 18c | 486.45$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.56 | 119 | 45.4%54 W · 65 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Carole Monnet | 4c | 412.44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.83 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Carole Monnet | 15c | 289.76$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.46 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299d…18e9backed Carole Monnet | 17c | 282$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.53 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7abc…8af1backed Carole Monnet | 16c | 266.24$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.98 | 85 | 24.7%21 W · 64 L | -14.3wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Carole Monnet | 19c | 250$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 194 | 11.9%23 W · 171 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Carole Monnet | 16c | 191.59$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.29 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Carole Monnet | 18c | 185.39$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.21 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78a0…3a2fbacked Carole Monnet | 17c | 180.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Carole Monnet | 15c | 170.27$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.54 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Carole Monnet | 13c | 157.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.48 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Carole Monnet | 21c | 115.64$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.21 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0b…12ffbacked Carole Monnet | 17c | 110.64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.81 | 130 | 51.5%67 W · 63 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Carole Monnet | 17c | 93.76$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.94 | 503 | 40%201 W · 302 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Carole Monnet | 12c | 87.53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Carole Monnet | 14c | 73.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 1,028 | 43.3%445 W · 583 L | -24.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60a3…3850backed Carole Monnet | 17c | 69.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 856 | 24.4%209 W · 647 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca20…7b68backed Carole Monnet | 23c | 67.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.46 | 574 | 47.7%274 W · 300 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31dd…7159backed Carole Monnet | 15c | 67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 903 | 40.2%363 W · 540 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Carole Monnet | 17c | 65.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Carole Monnet | 18c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.