Tennis · resolved market
ITF Wuning: Fanming Meng vs Xirui Han
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6d9fc960999dd7bdbfdfee4c75ade6dfef0629e700135478d284d4c9cc034ab9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Xirui Hanof Fanming Meng, Xirui Han
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,111
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,032
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,111 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Fanming Meng | 57c | 7,296$4,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,157.64 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Xirui Han | 49c | 1,631$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.75 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Fanming Meng | 41c | 1,215$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.8 | 197 | 40.6%80 W · 117 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Xirui Han | 18c | 1,076$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$882.32 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf03b…3ba1backed Xirui Han | 45c | 1,067$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.67 | 180 | 44.4%80 W · 100 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Xirui Han | 40c | 811.11$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.66 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Xirui Han | 24c | 766.59$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.42 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Xirui Han | 54c | 431.48$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.48 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Xirui Han | 51c | 361.27$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.84 | 727 | 55.6%404 W · 323 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Xirui Han | 21c | 240.55$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.04 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Fanming Meng | 28c | 111.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.88 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Xirui Han | 50c | 109.34$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.67 | 435 | 52.9%230 W · 205 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f3…d6dcbacked Xirui Han | 38c | 74.08$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.82 | 870 | 60.2%524 W · 346 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Xirui Han | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.07 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed Fanming Meng | 53c | 66.04$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 796 | 46%366 W · 430 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Fanming Meng | 49c | 63.94$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.62 | 739 | 51.7%382 W · 357 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe99…506bbacked Fanming Meng | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 678 | 52.1%353 W · 325 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Xirui Han | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 403 | 50.6%204 W · 199 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d0…566ebacked Fanming Meng | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 485 | 52.4%254 W · 231 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked Xirui Han | 54c | 54$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.84 | 273 | 53.1%145 W · 128 L | +12.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Xirui Han | 53c | 52.78$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.78 | 652 | 59.4%387 W · 265 L | +31.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabbc…04a3backed Fanming Meng | 55c | 52.73$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 189 | 57.7%109 W · 80 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Fanming Meng | 49c | 51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.82 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Fanming Meng | 73c | 37$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.01 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Xirui Han | 54c | 36.54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.81 | 551 | 49.7%274 W · 277 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf9…8292backed Fanming Meng | 79c | 35.39$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.96 | 588 | 57.7%339 W · 249 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Xirui Han | 49c | 32.6$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.49 | 268 | 49.3%132 W · 136 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Xirui Han | 79c | 31.06$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.59 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Fanming Meng | 47c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4787…db20backed Xirui Han | 52c | 21.59$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 282 | 64.2%181 W · 101 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Fanming Meng | 47c | 21.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 625 | 49.6%310 W · 315 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Xirui Han | 54c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 1,276 | 61%778 W · 498 L | +27.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.