CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Bushido Wildcats - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6db9a049577136a19548e83f1a210405155743992ca32673c778a4834045026d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- KOLESIEof KOLESIE, Bushido Wildcats
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,669
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,643
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,669 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Bushido Wildcats | 33c | 12,016$3,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,916.49 | 5,400 | 31.5%1,699 W · 3,701 L | -393.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca8e…ce7dbacked KOLESIE | 77c | 10,214$7,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,375.24 | 42 | 73.8%31 W · 11 L | +4.8wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked KOLESIE | 60c | 5,489$3,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,180.31 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed KOLESIE | 77c | 2,000$1,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454 | 640 | 58.1%372 W · 268 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Bushido Wildcats | 29c | 1,616$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.19 | 2,691 | 30.7%826 W · 1,865 L | -110.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Bushido Wildcats | 19c | 1,308$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.86 | 664 | 36.6%243 W · 421 L | -35.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Bushido Wildcats | 23c | 1,283$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.57 | 2,816 | 37.6%1,060 W · 1,756 L | -138.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa369…3ad6backed Bushido Wildcats | 23c | 775$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.25 | 331 | 46.5%154 W · 177 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked KOLESIE | 69c | 724.28$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.44 | 204 | 39.2%80 W · 124 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed KOLESIE | 60c | 720.01$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.48 | 2,536 | 43.1%1,094 W · 1,442 L | +44.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Bushido Wildcats | 35c | 577.85$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.93 | 3,994 | 36.5%1,456 W · 2,538 L | -207.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc746…3943backed Bushido Wildcats | 24c | 566.67$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa113…284ebacked Bushido Wildcats | 23c | 517.87$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.23 | 209 | 35.4%74 W · 135 L | -21.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9524…58f0backed KOLESIE | 69c | 417$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.5 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed KOLESIE | 65c | 399.53$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.09 | 6,522 | 42.9%2,798 W · 3,724 L | -80.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -22%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x050e…d92fbacked KOLESIE | 76c | 380$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.11 | 230 | 57.8%133 W · 97 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Bushido Wildcats | 24c | 359.82$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.07 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed KOLESIE | 74c | 313$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.52 | 527 | 50.7%267 W · 260 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed KOLESIE | 59c | 300$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 412 | 34%140 W · 272 L | -11.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b26…6091backed KOLESIE | 68c | 294.63$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.63 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -36%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2b…cec3backed Bushido Wildcats | 24c | 283.33$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dea…e294backed Bushido Wildcats | 23c | 280$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.4 | 366 | 48.9%179 W · 187 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…8e51backed KOLESIE | 23c | 250$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.9 | 417 | 16.5%69 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7004…a778backed KOLESIE | 61c | 250$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 301 | 55.8%168 W · 133 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f05…a9b9backed KOLESIE | 63c | 242.05$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.56 | 275 | 59.3%163 W · 112 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed KOLESIE | 74c | 240$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.4 | 843 | 43.3%365 W · 478 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Bushido Wildcats | 27c | 230.01$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.52 | 8,058 | 50.3%4,055 W · 4,003 L | +171.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa24a…8382backed KOLESIE | 75c | 230$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.5 | 148 | 48%71 W · 77 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd761…56e3backed KOLESIE | 75c | 221.59$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.34 | 247 | 46.2%114 W · 133 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Bushido Wildcats | 36c | 219.63$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.08 | 1,550 | 33.9%525 W · 1,025 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed Bushido Wildcats | 23c | 209.84$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.26 | 665 | 46.8%311 W · 354 L | +17.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3d…1f52backed Bushido Wildcats | 22c | 208.7$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 280 | 52.9%148 W · 132 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked KOLESIE | 69c | 208.37$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.23 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd8…54b3backed KOLESIE | 67c | 206.36$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.36 | 118 | 50%59 W · 59 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa72a…5685backed KOLESIE | 49c | 201$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.51 | 324 | 41.4%134 W · 190 L | -15.8wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d30…11f1backed Bushido Wildcats | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 163 | 50.3%82 W · 81 L | +14.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0083…80fdbacked Bushido Wildcats | 17c | 195$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.35 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked KOLESIE | 63c | 179.67$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.68 | 4,817 | 43.4%2,091 W · 2,726 L | -90.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Bushido Wildcats | 36c | 179.35$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.28 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb52b…9646backed KOLESIE | 73c | 166.38$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.82 | 220 | 59.1%130 W · 90 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93ed…a4cbbacked Bushido Wildcats | 24c | 161.67$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.8 | 260 | 48.8%127 W · 133 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x467e…4a19backed Bushido Wildcats | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1253…a1f4backed Bushido Wildcats | 66c | 150.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed KOLESIE | 61c | 147.04$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.99 | 2,674 | 51.9%1,388 W · 1,286 L | +25.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1522…70febacked KOLESIE | 32c | 138$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.84 | 372 | 45.4%169 W · 203 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed Bushido Wildcats | 32c | 125$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.46 | 401 | 41.6%167 W · 234 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Bushido Wildcats | 37c | 124.32$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 499 | 35.1%175 W · 324 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ac…e2a8backed KOLESIE | 75c | 114.91$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.91 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | +8.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x48bf…f7e2backed Bushido Wildcats | 23c | 108.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ee…663bbacked KOLESIE | 72c | 106.94$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.94 | 150 | 44.7%67 W · 83 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed KOLESIE | 49c | 105$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.29 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Bushido Wildcats | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 829 | 42.5%352 W · 477 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Bushido Wildcats | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 3,319 | 45.5%1,509 W · 1,810 L | -87.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Bushido Wildcats | 23c | 99.94$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.23 | 3,624 | 29.4%1,065 W · 2,559 L | -291.8wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed KOLESIE | 60c | 71.78$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.92 | 4,132 | 50.9%2,104 W · 2,028 L | +72.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc347…8ee3backed KOLESIE | 51c | 66$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.34 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f53…d5abbacked KOLESIE | 63c | 64$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.68 | 341 | 49.9%170 W · 171 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c0…dadabacked Bushido Wildcats | 45c | 59.56$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 196 | 42.3%83 W · 113 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Bushido Wildcats | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 2,422 | 46.6%1,129 W · 1,293 L | -56.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd95d…2ab5backed Bushido Wildcats | 24c | 43.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 325 | 44.3%144 W · 181 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Bushido Wildcats | 37c | 33.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.37 | 5,113 | 37.1%1,899 W · 3,214 L | -268.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…2fe4backed KOLESIE | 58c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 214 | 47.2%101 W · 113 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Bushido Wildcats - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group StageKOLESIE won
- Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Bushido Wildcats - Map 2 WinnerBushido Wildcats won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.