MLB · resolved market
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6df6cf23558e1cb53a497c6639095a621158723dc8a66389c09ef0054008028f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Los Angeles Dodgersof Los Angeles Dodgers, Milwaukee Brewers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,158
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,158 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x817f…9802backed Milwaukee Brewers | 50c | 1,998$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4940…0de1backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 50c | 1,998$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 53c | 1,280$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.47 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 43c | 1,129$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.68 | 991 | 49.9%495 W · 496 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe278…b608backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 49c | 957$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.31 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 53c | 912.67$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.96 | 408 | 46.1%188 W · 220 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Milwaukee Brewers | 34c | 798.23$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.1 | 76 | 34.2%26 W · 50 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Milwaukee Brewers | 49c | 777.56$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.19 | 1,874 | 52%975 W · 899 L | +51.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 53c | 650.91$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.15 | 484 | 45.9%222 W · 262 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 48c | 428.03$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.31 | 449 | 45.9%206 W · 243 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 52c | 334.44$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.21 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 47c | 300.2$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.19 | 3,303 | 46.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc998…f060backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 57c | 221.39$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.39 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 47c | 221.11$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.33 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 44c | 199$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.56 | 1,538 | 48.6%747 W · 791 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Milwaukee Brewers | 48c | 150$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 170 | 50%85 W · 85 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 47c | 138.76$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.75 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 51c | 135.98$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.27 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 56c | 105$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb691…b39dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 48c | 104.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.92 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Milwaukee Brewers | 49c | 100.98$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.04 | 205 | 48.3%99 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 48c | 97$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.56 | 722 | 47.6%344 W · 378 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Milwaukee Brewers | 47c | 94.2$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.27 | 1,012 | 51.2%518 W · 494 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 47c | 92.3$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.54 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 49c | 78$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.59 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 52c | 70.22$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 474 | 47.3%224 W · 250 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.97 | 509 | 49.5%252 W · 257 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 44c | 67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.65 | 257 | 48.2%124 W · 133 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 55c | 60.6$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.27 | 705 | 46.8%330 W · 375 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe324…9189backed Milwaukee Brewers | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf48e…1e01backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 53c | 53$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.91 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 43c | 45.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.95 | 856 | 35.7%306 W · 550 L | -24.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 52c | 45$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.45 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Milwaukee Brewers | 55c | 43.92$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.94 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fc…28abbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 34c | 43.04$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.47 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9865…f6afbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 49c | 42.86$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.86 | 310 | 32.9%102 W · 208 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 46c | 40.32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.65 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22be…e36ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 47c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92aa…0341backed Milwaukee Brewers | 74c | 33.94$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.23 | 62 | 67.7%42 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Milwaukee Brewers | 53c | 33.88$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.97 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a2…23a0backed Milwaukee Brewers | 58c | 31.84$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -3.3wins | -0.24per pick | 67cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2461…8b48backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 35c | 31.17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.26 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc61c…83a9backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Milwaukee Brewers | 40c | 29.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4218…ff0ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 50c | 25.49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 55c | 21.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 1,149 | 48.9%562 W · 587 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1683…6906backed Milwaukee Brewers | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -29%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.