MLB · resolved market
KBO: Doosan Bears vs. Hanwha Eagles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6ed74129577b0667b02c2dbe187fe34cf3070564c2ff5b710381f83223429c3a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hanwha Eaglesof Doosan Bears, Hanwha Eagles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,410
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,309
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,410 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x255a…3435backed Doosan Bears | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.78 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Hanwha Eagles | 56c | 744.07$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.58 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Hanwha Eagles | 48c | 670.69$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.76 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae5…6079backed Doosan Bears | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Doosan Bears | 52c | 340.67$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.95 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee3…cab9backed Hanwha Eagles | 47c | 299.99$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 162 | 32.1%52 W · 110 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…b20cbacked Doosan Bears | 53c | 226.42$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Hanwha Eagles | 48c | 191.32$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.28 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Doosan Bears | 53c | 135$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.02 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Hanwha Eagles | 43c | 106.26$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.59 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7673…fa40backed Doosan Bears | 52c | 105.77$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.2wins | -0.35per pick | 46cpaid | -63%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked Hanwha Eagles | 48c | 103.55$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.55 | 741 | 43.5%322 W · 419 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Doosan Bears | 53c | 95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.35 | 257 | 48.2%124 W · 133 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed Doosan Bears | 54c | 86.52$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.72 | 161 | 46.6%75 W · 86 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a98…639dbacked Hanwha Eagles | 71c | 84.66$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.66 | 309 | 60.2%186 W · 123 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Hanwha Eagles | 46c | 77.27$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.73 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Doosan Bears | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 443 | 48.5%215 W · 228 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Doosan Bears | 53c | 70$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.1 | 950 | 41.5%394 W · 556 L | -48.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Doosan Bears | 29c | 68.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.91 | 755 | 44.2%334 W · 421 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Doosan Bears | 53c | 59.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.79 | 895 | 48.3%432 W · 463 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Hanwha Eagles | 44c | 59.66$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.41 | 600 | 39%234 W · 366 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Doosan Bears | 56c | 59.66$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.41 | 704 | 55%387 W · 317 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Doosan Bears | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed Hanwha Eagles | 46c | 49.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 559 | 53.1%297 W · 262 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…4692backed Doosan Bears | 50c | 48.41$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 403 | 51.4%207 W · 196 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Hanwha Eagles | 80c | 47.88$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.73 | 449 | 45.9%206 W · 243 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20c7…bc23backed Hanwha Eagles | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 105 | 36.2%38 W · 67 L | -8.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…e6d8backed Doosan Bears | 34c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5055…2b0bbacked Hanwha Eagles | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…0f82backed Doosan Bears | 53c | 36.39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Doosan Bears | 35c | 34.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Doosan Bears | 53c | 32.69$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.27 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Doosan Bears | 52c | 25.81$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 676 | 53.1%359 W · 317 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Doosan Bears | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Doosan Bears | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 1,828 | 54.1%989 W · 839 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…27a0backed Doosan Bears | 52c | 19.71$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 373 | 49.6%185 W · 188 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x059d…10e3backed Doosan Bears | 54c | 18.52$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 246 | 46.7%115 W · 131 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.