Tennis · resolved market
ITF Szentendre: Vladyslav Orlov vs Peter Makk
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6f4004660f3730f858d3f99e34b95e30b1cbe3a2fc635ccb8bbcacfd7b19ec27
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Peter Makkof Vladyslav Orlov, Peter Makk
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,476
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,160
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,476 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Peter Makk | 63c | 6,713$4,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,498.5 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Peter Makk | 63c | 3,781$2,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,409.96 | 1,148 | 53%608 W · 540 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc92…649dbacked Vladyslav Orlov | 22c | 2,978$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.4 | 91 | 18.7%17 W · 74 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Vladyslav Orlov | 46c | 1,417$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.92 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Peter Makk | 54c | 1,400$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.5 | 1,228 | 41.1%505 W · 723 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Vladyslav Orlov | 43c | 1,199$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.24 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cef…71b4backed Vladyslav Orlov | 43c | 539.83$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.31 | 200 | 45%90 W · 110 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Vladyslav Orlov | 37c | 524.15$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.19 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Vladyslav Orlov | 53c | 421.35$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.04 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Vladyslav Orlov | 3c | 352.21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Vladyslav Orlov | 20c | 308$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.6 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Vladyslav Orlov | 48c | 246.51$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.5 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Vladyslav Orlov | 42c | 166.8$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.43 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Vladyslav Orlov | 42c | 160$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.76 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Vladyslav Orlov | 37c | 156$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.07 | 2,118 | 55.9%1,185 W · 933 L | +40.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Peter Makk | 65c | 150.46$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.89 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Vladyslav Orlov | 49c | 150$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.28 | 559 | 41.9%234 W · 325 L | -27.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Vladyslav Orlov | 41c | 124.56$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.69 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Vladyslav Orlov | 44c | 122.59$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.54 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Vladyslav Orlov | 54c | 120$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 653 | 46.4%303 W · 350 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Peter Makk | 56c | 111.36$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 1,125 | 51.1%575 W · 550 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcdf…8116backed Vladyslav Orlov | 47c | 106.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Vladyslav Orlov | 50c | 105$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Peter Makk | 46c | 78.3$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.3 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Vladyslav Orlov | 25c | 61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Peter Makk | 47c | 51.06$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.06 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed Vladyslav Orlov | 53c | 45.85$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 308 | 44.5%137 W · 171 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Vladyslav Orlov | 42c | 41.87$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.59 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Vladyslav Orlov | 51c | 37.96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.18 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Peter Makk | 47c | 36.17$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.17 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x035b…c6ddbacked Peter Makk | 61c | 34.16$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.16 | 140 | 36.4%51 W · 89 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Peter Makk | 62c | 30.24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 305 | 44.3%135 W · 170 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9c…f77dbacked Vladyslav Orlov | 39c | 26.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x023d…23acbacked Peter Makk | 71c | 18.42$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.42 | 617 | 55.9%345 W · 272 L | +18.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a18…7df1backed Peter Makk | 58c | 17.59$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ad…5097backed Peter Makk | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.1 | 268 | 68.3%183 W · 85 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.