TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Set 1 Winner: Jovic vs Kalinskaya

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Jovicof Jovic, Kalinskaya
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,407
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,541

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,407 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x61ec…838fbacked Kalinskaya41c715.4$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.0718868.6%129 W · 59 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Jovic60c602.8$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.987,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Jovic50c449.02$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.961,56640%627 W · 939 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Kalinskaya50c388$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1944,07639.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L+93.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2488…ff0ebacked Jovic60c162.67$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.0748650.6%246 W · 240 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Jovic59c159.15$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.882,52339.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L-3.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Kalinskaya39c121.51$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.396,43954.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L+285.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Kalinskaya52c86.18$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.597,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Kalinskaya39c80.11$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.2434149.9%170 W · 171 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd3a…91fdbacked Jovic60c78.28$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.311,01846.8%476 W · 542 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Kalinskaya39c40.73$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.819,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Kalinskaya50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe129…b86cbacked Jovic50c38.8$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.42951.7%15 W · 14 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6eea…da7fbacked Jovic49c33.52$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.0412874.2%95 W · 33 L+11.1wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+14.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x584d…d358backed Jovic61c24.16$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.4234159.5%203 W · 138 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd78e…6421backed Kalinskaya50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1093557.3%536 W · 399 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.