Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Alabama State Hornets (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x70190715386a441cfe6973ca6ebb89a00067efc57200621f5c0d1d9f8a89334a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jackson State Tigersof Alabama State Hornets, Jackson State Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $490,611
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $491,213
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $490,611 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Alabama State Hornets | 49c | 478,208$233,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233,259.19 | 359 | 45.1%162 W · 197 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Jackson State Tigers | 51c | 244,990$125,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119,065.28 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Jackson State Tigers | 51c | 200,000$102,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98,000 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Jackson State Tigers | 51c | 17,500$8,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,525 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Jackson State Tigers | 52c | 10,000$5,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,850 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Alabama State Hornets | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 397 | 44.8%178 W · 219 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4366…c73ebacked Jackson State Tigers | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Jackson State Tigers | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Jackson State Tigers | 52c | 1,200$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Alabama State Hornets | 47c | 816.11$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.57 | 222 | 50.9%113 W · 109 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Jackson State Tigers | 53c | 800$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Jackson State Tigers | 53c | 777.4$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.38 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Jackson State Tigers | 53c | 664.96$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.64 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07bc…393abacked Jackson State Tigers | 52c | 600$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Jackson State Tigers | 51c | 504$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.96 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…48e0backed Jackson State Tigers | 52c | 295.48$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.83 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Jackson State Tigers | 53c | 232.43$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.87 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50ba…5435backed Jackson State Tigers | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Alabama State Hornets | 45c | 155.4$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.7 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Alabama State Hornets | 44c | 125$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aea…5590backed Jackson State Tigers | 52c | 104.78$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.29 | 158 | 44.3%70 W · 88 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Jackson State Tigers | 52c | 90.77$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.57 | 186 | 46.2%86 W · 100 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22ad…c3c9backed Jackson State Tigers | 53c | 47.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.35 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 57cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Alabama State Hornets | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 350 | 50.3%176 W · 174 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1aa…071abacked Alabama State Hornets | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbe…03c5backed Jackson State Tigers | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08b6…7db6backed Jackson State Tigers | 53c | 21.77$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.16 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Jackson State Tigers | 52c | 19.23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.14 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Alabama State Hornets (-7.5)this page
- Jackson State Tigers vs. Alabama State HornetsJackson State Tigers won
- Spread: Alabama State Hornets (-6.5)Jackson State Tigers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.