Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Alabama State Hornets (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc98b32a49efa485a01608906f966a2597e7e84323b1de79eac13af73c06939a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jackson State Tigersof Alabama State Hornets, Jackson State Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,266
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,356
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,266 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x108d…b85dbacked Alabama State Hornets | 53c | 7,195$3,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,786.24 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Jackson State Tigers | 50c | 1,729$859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870.71 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Jackson State Tigers | 48c | 1,206$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.25 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Alabama State Hornets | 49c | 1,176$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.03 | 244 | 51.2%125 W · 119 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Jackson State Tigers | 48c | 1,107$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.84 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08fe…aedfbacked Jackson State Tigers | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.83 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked Jackson State Tigers | 47c | 1,030$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.9 | 327 | 51.7%169 W · 158 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8013…5b52backed Jackson State Tigers | 47c | 700.03$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.02 | 154 | 53.9%83 W · 71 L | +16.8wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Jackson State Tigers | 49c | 570.1$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.57 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Jackson State Tigers | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 270 | 45.2%122 W · 148 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Jackson State Tigers | 48c | 394$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.88 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Jackson State Tigers | 52c | 369.53$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.28 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Alabama State Hornets | 50c | 297.69$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.85 | 740 | 51.5%381 W · 359 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Alabama State Hornets | 48c | 125$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Jackson State Tigers | 50c | 97.69$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.85 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Alabama State Hornets (-6.5)this page
- Jackson State Tigers vs. Alabama State HornetsJackson State Tigers won
- Spread: Alabama State Hornets (-7.5)Jackson State Tigers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.