Tennis · resolved market
ITF Maanshan: Ikumi Yamazaki vs Anna Snigireva
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x70255410c90b68dba009c5c338d77181809ebe79ea381bce09582322a38007f1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Anna Snigirevaof Ikumi Yamazaki, Anna Snigireva
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,852
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,076
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,852 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Ikumi Yamazaki | 39c | 2,025$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.99 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45b8…339fbacked Ikumi Yamazaki | 18c | 1,040$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.31 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Anna Snigireva | 60c | 526.67$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.92 | 1,076 | 60.4%650 W · 426 L | +24.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Anna Snigireva | 58c | 460.81$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.81 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Anna Snigireva | 69c | 446.9$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.81 | 969 | 45.9%445 W · 524 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…805fbacked Anna Snigireva | 67c | 373.13$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.13 | 365 | 48.2%176 W · 189 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Anna Snigireva | 62c | 271.48$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.16 | 1,688 | 45.4%766 W · 922 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Anna Snigireva | 67c | 199.42$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.46 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Anna Snigireva | 70c | 134$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.22 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Anna Snigireva | 58c | 113.41$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.3 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Anna Snigireva | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa444…7c8bbacked Ikumi Yamazaki | 22c | 90.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e61…2f1bbacked Anna Snigireva | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 291 | 48.5%141 W · 150 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Anna Snigireva | 65c | 76.41$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b3…d0eebacked Ikumi Yamazaki | 22c | 68.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Ikumi Yamazaki | 35c | 63$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.81 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Ikumi Yamazaki | 34c | 63$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Ikumi Yamazaki | 34c | 63$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Anna Snigireva | 63c | 61.18$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.78 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f3…d6dcbacked Anna Snigireva | 54c | 54.3$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.96 | 870 | 60.2%524 W · 346 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Anna Snigireva | 59c | 52.98$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.73 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Ikumi Yamazaki | 35c | 52.34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.18 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…ae4dbacked Anna Snigireva | 65c | 51$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.66 | 197 | 44.7%88 W · 109 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Anna Snigireva | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Anna Snigireva | 70c | 49.17$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.86 | 1,276 | 61%778 W · 498 L | +27.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9dd…13a2backed Anna Snigireva | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Anna Snigireva | 67c | 45.84$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.13 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed Anna Snigireva | 61c | 40.66$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.86 | 821 | 59.4%488 W · 333 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Ikumi Yamazaki | 33c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bce…db46backed Anna Snigireva | 60c | 36.63$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.63 | 158 | 54.4%86 W · 72 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Ikumi Yamazaki | 35c | 33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Anna Snigireva | 65c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.72 | 727 | 55.6%404 W · 323 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Anna Snigireva | 57c | 17.55$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.55 | 625 | 49.6%310 W · 315 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9690…1ed2backed Anna Snigireva | 65c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.02 | 32 | 78.1%25 W · 7 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 65cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.