Dota2 · resolved market
Game Handicap: BB (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x70494e02eb0cfc8588a63dc3bf7c308801c0b5e99c05979d39a4e392b2233ec8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LGD Gamingof BetBoom Team, LGD Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,766
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,515
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,766 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed LGD Gaming | 61c | 2,639$1,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029.23 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed BetBoom Team | 39c | 2,564$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked LGD Gaming | 61c | 816.41$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.41 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabe5…d99abacked BetBoom Team | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 386 | 49.5%191 W · 195 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked BetBoom Team | 35c | 400$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.86 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed BetBoom Team | 37c | 242.34$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.67 | 177 | 37.9%67 W · 110 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed LGD Gaming | 62c | 203.26$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.24 | 259 | 35.5%92 W · 167 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa371…eaa5backed BetBoom Team | 43c | 192.07$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 146 | 43.8%64 W · 82 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x173f…e44dbacked BetBoom Team | 38c | 189.21$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b15…a031backed BetBoom Team | 44c | 141.23$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.14 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ffd…d27cbacked LGD Gaming | 56c | 141.23$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.14 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c20…41b3backed BetBoom Team | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 173 | 23.1%40 W · 133 L | -11.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3e…a78abacked BetBoom Team | 39c | 94.87$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 412 | 44.7%184 W · 228 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed LGD Gaming | 56c | 70.35$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.95 | 231 | 49.4%114 W · 117 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…af35backed LGD Gaming | 70c | 65$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.27 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a91…736bbacked LGD Gaming | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 73 | 75.3%55 W · 18 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked LGD Gaming | 73c | 62.9$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.27 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5521…442abacked BetBoom Team | 39c | 55.85$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x710b…93b0backed LGD Gaming | 67c | 52.54$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.54 | 122 | 60.7%74 W · 48 L | +10.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x101f…b386backed BetBoom Team | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 321 | 54.8%176 W · 145 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf98b…57bbbacked BetBoom Team | 39c | 49.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 418 | 64.1%268 W · 150 L | +17.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed LGD Gaming | 57c | 49.19$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.15 | 213 | 44.1%94 W · 119 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf08…12a3backed LGD Gaming | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x399c…6191backed LGD Gaming | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 59 | 78%46 W · 13 L | +8.7wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x847c…9ff8backed BetBoom Team | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x312c…0f42backed BetBoom Team | 40c | 38.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 372 | 52.7%196 W · 176 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed LGD Gaming | 61c | 33.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.21 | 529 | 50.9%269 W · 260 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked BetBoom Team | 33c | 32.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c0…23d8backed BetBoom Team | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 239 | 57.3%137 W · 102 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfce8…2686backed LGD Gaming | 63c | 25.4$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 145 | 66.2%96 W · 49 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2b…d422backed LGD Gaming | 56c | 24.53$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.79 | 148 | 45.9%68 W · 80 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed LGD Gaming | 63c | 20.08$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.43 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x498b…ca86backed LGD Gaming | 60c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 107 | 63.6%68 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: BB (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5)this page
- Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam PlayoffsLGD Gaming won
- Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 WinnerLGD Gaming won
- Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 WinnerBetBoom Team won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.