Lol · resolved market
LoL: Bushido Wildcats vs Dark Passage - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x704d7cf9988f96482c8cff5cd418605047c26acf799519e1a868d12767c7129c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bushido Wildcatsof Bushido Wildcats, Dark Passage
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,691
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,960
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,691 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Bushido Wildcats | 62c | 2,915$1,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,111.54 | 2,240 | 37.3%836 W · 1,404 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…0b04backed Dark Passage | 8c | 2,207$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.62 | 510 | 44.1%225 W · 285 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Dark Passage | 38c | 1,083$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.22 | 1,061 | 54.7%580 W · 481 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Dark Passage | 36c | 849.99$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.88 | 1,965 | 48.4%951 W · 1,014 L | +27.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2518…254fbacked Dark Passage | 46c | 651.26$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.85 | 545 | 55.2%301 W · 244 L | +24.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed Dark Passage | 13c | 563.26$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.22 | 788 | 9.8%77 W · 711 L | +22.8wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97ea…3363backed Dark Passage | 7c | 512.84$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.13 | 160 | 58.8%94 W · 66 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbafa…02e0backed Dark Passage | 28c | 344.34$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 807 | 50.8%410 W · 397 L | +48.4wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d9f…787abacked Bushido Wildcats | 43c | 329$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.53 | 616 | 45.3%279 W · 337 L | +36.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6a…04ebbacked Bushido Wildcats | 59c | 251.22$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103 | 486 | 52.1%253 W · 233 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x739d…999bbacked Bushido Wildcats | 63c | 238.06$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.06 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Bushido Wildcats | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 503 | 55.3%278 W · 225 L | -21.8wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96f1…b6d8backed Bushido Wildcats | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 386 | 59.8%231 W · 155 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…13e5backed Dark Passage | 44c | 172.82$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.04 | 232 | 40.5%94 W · 138 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…4500backed Dark Passage | 43c | 161.17$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.17 | 127 | 27.6%35 W · 92 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Bushido Wildcats | 75c | 156.64$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.41 | 1,545 | 43.8%676 W · 869 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12bc…bf2fbacked Dark Passage | 16c | 147$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.99 | 360 | 40.6%146 W · 214 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…bb92backed Bushido Wildcats | 80c | 122.75$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 114 | 39.5%45 W · 69 L | -11.6wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -30%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Dark Passage | 29c | 116.16$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.54 | 2,364 | 40.7%963 W · 1,401 L | -57.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…e919backed Dark Passage | 37c | 108.1$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 476 | 30.7%146 W · 330 L | -13.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Bushido Wildcats | 45c | 71.11$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.11 | 2,836 | 41.4%1,175 W · 1,661 L | -12.9wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9227…7cedbacked Dark Passage | 58c | 70.69$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 553 | 47%260 W · 293 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13ee…01aebacked Bushido Wildcats | 57c | 70$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.1 | 183 | 35.5%65 W · 118 L | -23.7wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Bushido Wildcats | 59c | 59.32$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.32 | 751 | 42.1%316 W · 435 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef1…add2backed Dark Passage | 44c | 51.56$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.69 | 228 | 67.5%154 W · 74 L | +21.1wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Bushido Wildcats | 56c | 41.71$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.35 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Dark Passage | 27c | 36.97$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 257 | 37%95 W · 162 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Bushido Wildcats | 78c | 27.29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 751 | 50.7%381 W · 370 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Bushido Wildcats | 64c | 24.75$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 1,671 | 57.9%968 W · 703 L | +70.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x330f…91b1backed Bushido Wildcats | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 1,257 | 52.8%664 W · 593 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed Bushido Wildcats | 69c | 14.64$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.54 | 1,372 | 48.6%667 W · 705 L | +57.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Bushido Wildcats vs Dark Passage - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: BW (-1.5) vs Dark Passage (+1.5)Bushido Wildcats won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Bushido Wildcats vs Dark Passage (BO3) - TCL Regular SeasonBushido Wildcats won
- LoL: Bushido Wildcats vs Dark Passage - Game 1 WinnerBushido Wildcats won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.