Lol · resolved market
LoL: Bushido Wildcats vs Dark Passage - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0f3471a695c4da4ae22fea90a0cfef6e42d43e60b39bf251deba142492a2d363
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bushido Wildcatsof Bushido Wildcats, Dark Passage
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,986
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,215
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,986 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd975…8c73backed Bushido Wildcats | 64c | 4,171$2,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,490.02 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +4.4wins | +0.28per pick | 41cpaid | +175%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Dark Passage | 37c | 2,884$1,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,067.57 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Dark Passage | 38c | 2,508$956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.68 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Dark Passage | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 176 | 10.2%18 W · 158 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Dark Passage | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Dark Passage | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 409 | 16.1%66 W · 343 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…bb3bbacked Bushido Wildcats | 64c | 931.57$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.57 | 1,663 | 59.5%990 W · 673 L | +98.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Dark Passage | 22c | 908.66$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.71 | 144 | 29.2%42 W · 102 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa844…83b8backed Bushido Wildcats | 65c | 888.92$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.63 | 621 | 58.8%365 W · 256 L | +32.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Dark Passage | 31c | 856.58$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.89 | 1,940 | 48.1%934 W · 1,006 L | +22.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa0…b3babacked Bushido Wildcats | 64c | 783.07$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.07 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5b…2b2dbacked Bushido Wildcats | 65c | 771.62$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.62 | 261 | 55.9%146 W · 115 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Dark Passage | 35c | 700$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.5 | 183 | 36.6%67 W · 116 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Bushido Wildcats | 65c | 300$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 501 | 55.3%277 W · 224 L | -21.6wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Dark Passage | 41c | 200$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 166 | 34.9%58 W · 108 L | -19.4wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x52f8…ad19backed Dark Passage | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 627 | 39.9%250 W · 377 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbafa…02e0backed Dark Passage | 32c | 155$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.25 | 801 | 50.7%406 W · 395 L | +48.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5839…3fa8backed Bushido Wildcats | 68c | 129.99$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.02 | 116 | 67.2%78 W · 38 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Bushido Wildcats | 61c | 125$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.75 | 797 | 45.8%365 W · 432 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…13e5backed Dark Passage | 34c | 119.49$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.12 | 232 | 40.5%94 W · 138 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed Dark Passage | 21c | 102.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.54 | 447 | 38%170 W · 277 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Dark Passage | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 1,156 | 45.1%521 W · 635 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Bushido Wildcats | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 166 | 47.6%79 W · 87 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Dark Passage | 42c | 93.32$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.19 | 316 | 50.3%159 W · 157 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Dark Passage | 30c | 85.9$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.77 | 808 | 32.9%266 W · 542 L | -43.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Dark Passage | 35c | 84.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.71 | 1,539 | 43.7%673 W · 866 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Dark Passage | 35c | 83.49$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 1,671 | 57.9%968 W · 703 L | +70.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Dark Passage | 29c | 75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.49 | 283 | 41%116 W · 167 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…cd13backed Dark Passage | 32c | 69.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.12 | 140 | 38.6%54 W · 86 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Dark Passage | 30c | 66.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 1,831 | 17.1%313 W · 1,518 L | -236.0wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed Dark Passage | 35c | 66.07$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.89 | 505 | 49.3%249 W · 256 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df2…d357backed Bushido Wildcats | 70c | 57.45$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.45 | 409 | 59.2%242 W · 167 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9227…7cedbacked Dark Passage | 35c | 57.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 553 | 47%260 W · 293 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…e919backed Dark Passage | 26c | 54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 476 | 30.7%146 W · 330 L | -13.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed Bushido Wildcats | 65c | 52.29$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 436 | 42.4%185 W · 251 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e57…831dbacked Bushido Wildcats | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 187 | 57.2%107 W · 80 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6707…d4d8backed Bushido Wildcats | 73c | 48.21$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.21 | 355 | 60.8%216 W · 139 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Dark Passage | 28c | 46.08$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 173 | 49.7%86 W · 87 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed Bushido Wildcats | 60c | 44.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.9 | 749 | 49.7%372 W · 377 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Dark Passage | 37c | 43$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 450 | 44.7%201 W · 249 L | -29.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x970f…f167backed Dark Passage | 40c | 42.63$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 106 | 54.7%58 W · 48 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Dark Passage | 26c | 42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 1,061 | 54.7%580 W · 481 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Bushido Wildcats | 64c | 38.77$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.77 | 751 | 42.1%316 W · 435 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…ced8backed Bushido Wildcats | 70c | 38.55$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.41 | 323 | 71.2%230 W · 93 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Dark Passage | 29c | 36.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 495 | 14.3%71 W · 424 L | -70.5wins | -0.14per pick | 29cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…b387backed Dark Passage | 40c | 28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 647 | 49.5%320 W · 327 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Bushido Wildcats | 70c | 25.14$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.43 | 243 | 56%136 W · 107 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x330f…91b1backed Bushido Wildcats | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 1,247 | 52.8%659 W · 588 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2c…3ec7backed Bushido Wildcats | 67c | 23.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.9 | 399 | 60.4%241 W · 158 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6046…6253backed Bushido Wildcats | 65c | 21.13$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Bushido Wildcats | 67c | 17.92$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 751 | 50.7%381 W · 370 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Bushido Wildcats vs Dark Passage - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: BW (-1.5) vs Dark Passage (+1.5)Bushido Wildcats won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Bushido Wildcats vs Dark Passage (BO3) - TCL Regular SeasonBushido Wildcats won
- LoL: Bushido Wildcats vs Dark Passage - Game 2 WinnerBushido Wildcats won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.