NHL · resolved market
KHL: Lokomotiv Yaroslavl vs. Spartak Moscow
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x708af589d06d6c8e40cf539d96b00801170737a671776bd3f2eb6c8eca0b0a0b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lokomotiv Yaroslavlof Lokomotiv Yaroslavl, Spartak Moscow
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,213
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,213 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b1…f737backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 71c | 4,070$2,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160.65 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Spartak Moscow | 27c | 3,500$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 418 | 42.8%179 W · 239 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Spartak Moscow | 28c | 444$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.32 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x058e…a2acbacked Spartak Moscow | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Spartak Moscow | 25c | 287.45$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.46 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd88f…dd60backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 72c | 148.53$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Spartak Moscow | 28c | 141.09$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.51 | 179 | 40.2%72 W · 107 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 71c | 130$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.99 | 314 | 48.7%153 W · 161 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 71c | 120.36$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.9 | 480 | 50.6%243 W · 237 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ace…3afdbacked Spartak Moscow | 29c | 110.34$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 71c | 98.02$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.43 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…d960backed Spartak Moscow | 30c | 75.22$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.69 | 366 | 62%227 W · 139 L | +39.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Spartak Moscow | 27c | 69.45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.94 | 292 | 41.1%120 W · 172 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd272…d6adbacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Spartak Moscow | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 73c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 222 | 55.9%124 W · 98 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Spartak Moscow | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 565 | 53.6%303 W · 262 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 71c | 53.41$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 865 | 49.1%425 W · 440 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…4692backed Spartak Moscow | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 279 | 47.3%132 W · 147 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb69f…3c2bbacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 63c | 42$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 72c | 40.58$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.36 | 425 | 58.6%249 W · 176 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff7…d3c9backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 67c | 40.13$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.35 | 62 | 67.7%42 W · 20 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc37f…95d4backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 74c | 39.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Spartak Moscow | 47c | 26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 155 | 60%93 W · 62 L | +13.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 497 | 47.9%238 W · 259 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc916…5403backed Lokomotiv Yaroslavl | 71c | 19.62$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.59 | 139 | 54%75 W · 64 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.