Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Fairfield Stags vs. Saint Peter's Peacocks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x709777a8c67fbdcfb79e28a370c2e4995a67dae11de38afe0abf89798859de6f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Saint Peter's Peacocksof Fairfield Stags, Saint Peter's Peacocks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,933
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,602
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,933 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x78d2…7a2bbacked Fairfield Stags | 1c | 5,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.89 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Saint Peter's Peacocks | 62c | 4,882$3,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,855.15 | 302 | 49.3%149 W · 153 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Fairfield Stags | 38c | 2,934$1,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,113.89 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc5…7708backed Fairfield Stags | 17c | 1,332$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 110 | 28.2%31 W · 79 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Saint Peter's Peacocks | 76c | 1,315$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.76 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Fairfield Stags | 32c | 1,065$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.04 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Fairfield Stags | 38c | 986.84$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 564 | 44.1%249 W · 315 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Fairfield Stags | 36c | 928.24$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.9 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…9f3fbacked Saint Peter's Peacocks | 65c | 699.99$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Saint Peter's Peacocks | 76c | 627$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.48 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe622…ea5ebacked Fairfield Stags | 37c | 600$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 371 | 42.6%158 W · 213 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed Fairfield Stags | 37c | 520.97$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.76 | 445 | 49.4%220 W · 225 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Saint Peter's Peacocks | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Saint Peter's Peacocks | 68c | 490$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.09 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Saint Peter's Peacocks | 63c | 413.23$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.19 | 379 | 47.8%181 W · 198 L | -26.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed1…caa2backed Fairfield Stags | 4c | 399.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 253 | 25.3%64 W · 189 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Fairfield Stags | 37c | 354.79$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.57 | 149 | 30.2%45 W · 104 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Saint Peter's Peacocks | 63c | 317.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.62 | 453 | 51.4%233 W · 220 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…90f8backed Fairfield Stags | 24c | 312.5$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 192 | 37%71 W · 121 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Fairfield Stags | 37c | 283.48$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.58 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Fairfield Stags | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.69 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Saint Peter's Peacocks | 76c | 259.28$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.53 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Fairfield Stags | 35c | 257$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.95 | 507 | 45.2%229 W · 278 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Fairfield Stags | 37c | 199.99$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Fairfield Stags | 35c | 199.98$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.99 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed Fairfield Stags | 38c | 186.84$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Saint Peter's Peacocks | 61c | 180.73$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.48 | 315 | 37.8%119 W · 196 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Fairfield Stags | 35c | 170.24$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Saint Peter's Peacocks | 75c | 161$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.08 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Fairfield Stags | 37c | 152.4$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.78 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Saint Peter's Peacocks | 64c | 149$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.66 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Fairfield Stags | 24c | 137.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.64 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Fairfield Stags | 35c | 128.57$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 308 | 53.2%164 W · 144 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb02…0f88backed Fairfield Stags | 16c | 122.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.73 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Saint Peter's Peacocks | 79c | 107.38$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.42 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Fairfield Stags | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…d102backed Fairfield Stags | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 214 | 49.5%106 W · 108 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…6d6bbacked Fairfield Stags | 38c | 75$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked Saint Peter's Peacocks | 64c | 69.34$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.76 | 227 | 30.4%69 W · 158 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Fairfield Stags | 35c | 68.32$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.73 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Saint Peter's Peacocks | 62c | 62.74$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.84 | 243 | 40.7%99 W · 144 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Fairfield Stags | 33c | 62.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.36 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3831…7f10backed Fairfield Stags | 30c | 61.51$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Saint Peter's Peacocks | 63c | 60.6$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.42 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00e…73fabacked Saint Peter's Peacocks | 64c | 60$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed Saint Peter's Peacocks | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x726b…c72bbacked Fairfield Stags | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b12…7a77backed Fairfield Stags | 23c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 523 | 53.5%280 W · 243 L | -17.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked Saint Peter's Peacocks | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 390 | 50.5%197 W · 193 L | -34.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…3851backed Saint Peter's Peacocks | 64c | 43.4$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.77 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Saint Peter's Peacocks | 75c | 43.16$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.82 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Saint Peter's Peacocks | 75c | 37$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Fairfield Stags | 29c | 36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Fairfield Stags | 30c | 35.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…06c5backed Saint Peter's Peacocks | 62c | 33.58$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.76 | 427 | 51.8%221 W · 206 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Fairfield Stags | 37c | 31.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d83…8eb4backed Saint Peter's Peacocks | 71c | 30.31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.79 | 37 | 70.3%26 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaafa…3471backed Fairfield Stags | 36c | 27.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 252 | 30.6%77 W · 175 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Saint Peter's Peacocks | 64c | 17.19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.19 | 233 | 63.9%149 W · 84 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6533…0f9cbacked Saint Peter's Peacocks | 73c | 15.07$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.07 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Fairfield Stags vs. Saint Peter's Peacocksthis page
- Fairfield Stags vs. Saint Peter's Peacocks: O/U 141.5Over won
- Fairfield Stags vs. Saint Peter's Peacocks: O/U 142.5Over won
- Fairfield Stags vs. Saint Peter's Peacocks: O/U 143.5Over won
- Spread: Saint Peter's Peacocks (-3.5)Saint Peter's Peacocks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.