Tennis · resolved market
Cervia: Stefan Dostanic vs Max Alcala Gurri
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x70cc2a2279e8ccc105dc2d48f1bd1d3853e7330c711ab379e257bc390c6eb4e6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Max Alcala Gurriof Stefan Dostanic, Max Alcala Gurri
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,665
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,067
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,665 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Stefan Dostanic | 27c | 1,268$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.21 | 142 | 25.4%36 W · 106 L | -10.2wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Stefan Dostanic | 2c | 1,078$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.91 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Max Alcala Gurri | 51c | 921.01$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.43 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Max Alcala Gurri | 71c | 849.73$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.19 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Stefan Dostanic | 41c | 718.15$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.12 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8644…ad01backed Stefan Dostanic | 46c | 529.99$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.39 | 260 | 49.2%128 W · 132 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Stefan Dostanic | 50c | 368.25$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.92 | 803 | 41.8%336 W · 467 L | -20.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb47b…c6b1backed Max Alcala Gurri | 54c | 354.2$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.93 | 190 | 52.6%100 W · 90 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…235bbacked Stefan Dostanic | 9c | 322.8$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 204 | 12.7%26 W · 178 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb002…103dbacked Max Alcala Gurri | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 368 | 52.7%194 W · 174 L | +13.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74bd…d371backed Max Alcala Gurri | 54c | 273$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.58 | 421 | 25.7%108 W · 313 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Max Alcala Gurri | 59c | 257.9$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.29 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe068…c5eabacked Stefan Dostanic | 29c | 237.42$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.85 | 61 | 27.9%17 W · 44 L | -10.4wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Stefan Dostanic | 46c | 232.04$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.84 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Max Alcala Gurri | 57c | 224.21$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.24 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52f2…5a5dbacked Max Alcala Gurri | 68c | 208.82$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.82 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Stefan Dostanic | 10c | 158.87$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 2,085 | 44.5%928 W · 1,157 L | -51.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Stefan Dostanic | 32c | 158.82$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.82 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d78…a4ccbacked Stefan Dostanic | 37c | 158$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.46 | 330 | 55.8%184 W · 146 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Stefan Dostanic | 46c | 79.96$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.78 | 1,151 | 48.7%560 W · 591 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Stefan Dostanic | 46c | 77$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.42 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17f7…a181backed Max Alcala Gurri | 54c | 66.67$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.67 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8048…a602backed Max Alcala Gurri | 77c | 64.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.64 | 195 | 68.2%133 W · 62 L | +19.5wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Stefan Dostanic | 17c | 61$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x912b…9906backed Max Alcala Gurri | 70c | 52.54$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Max Alcala Gurri | 50c | 50.27$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.33 | 2,044 | 53.8%1,100 W · 944 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Stefan Dostanic | 35c | 43.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 345 | 49.9%172 W · 173 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Max Alcala Gurri | 74c | 41$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Stefan Dostanic | 39c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 580 | 48.4%281 W · 299 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d18…6f62backed Max Alcala Gurri | 53c | 30.26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.22 | 560 | 62.5%350 W · 210 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Max Alcala Gurri | 55c | 26.18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.78 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Max Alcala Gurri | 48c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.52 | 958 | 46.6%446 W · 512 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Stefan Dostanic | 45c | 25.68$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Max Alcala Gurri | 54c | 21.76$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.01 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Max Alcala Gurri | 59c | 18.66$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.69 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.