Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Göztepe SK vs. Kasımpaşa SK end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x710f607ed2a26f740dc8f19ba7d9c5f09986eec1cf5545e2d51cc8da446f36f5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,650
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,166
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,650 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 43c | 3,103$1,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,783.9 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 70c | 2,788$1,948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,948.13 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9030…4a23backed No | 14c | 1,347$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.62 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 65c | 1,193$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.53 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 43c | 1,176$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.07 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09a8…aff0backed Yes | 21c | 952.6$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86be…4490backed Yes | 29c | 297.87$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.71 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 69c | 280.03$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.61 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 79c | 264.96$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.04 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 31c | 257.64$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.77 | 582 | 29.2%170 W · 412 L | -19.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 71c | 249.99$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.49 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 62c | 231.09$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.23 | 134 | 26.1%35 W · 99 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 21c | 230.08$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.46 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 44c | 229.92$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.79 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 79c | 188.57$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.97 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc285…d26ebacked Yes | 28c | 176.37$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.99 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 78c | 140$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.16 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 9c | 135.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 65c | 133.03$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.31 | 648 | 42%272 W · 376 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 58c | 131.58$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.7 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Yes | 22c | 127.79$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.15 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked No | 44c | 115.07$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.27 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 16c | 103.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.39 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b77…1953backed No | 64c | 99.31$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.24 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…8f42backed Yes | 29c | 97.74$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.01 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -5.2wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 30c | 95.8$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.06 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 28c | 83.97$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.23 | 94 | 37.2%35 W · 59 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed No | 72c | 83.95$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.44 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x061d…b355backed Yes | 29c | 82.53$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.6 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked No | 17c | 70.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 105 | 24.8%26 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 71c | 68.26$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.46 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3329…a607backed Yes | 16c | 62.95$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.89 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +168.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Yes | 29c | 60.32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.82 | 100 | 52%52 W · 48 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 30c | 59.08$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.35 | 292 | 44.9%131 W · 161 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 70c | 58.01$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.79 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd851…4616backed Yes | 32c | 57.55$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.14 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +4.7wins | +0.14per pick | 27cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 56c | 48$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.88 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…b875backed Yes | 44c | 43.93$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 104 | 61.5%64 W · 40 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44d5…1a5bbacked Yes | 77c | 40.98$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 52cpaid | +76.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xabd5…e713backed Yes | 27c | 39.31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.7 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dda…8799backed No | 66c | 29.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.59 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 70cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 58c | 22.27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 409 | 58.9%241 W · 168 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed No | 58c | 22.27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked No | 58c | 22.27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 151 | 57.6%87 W · 64 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed No | 58c | 22.27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 209 | 53.1%111 W · 98 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked No | 58c | 22.27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 167 | 56.3%94 W · 73 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed No | 58c | 22.27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | -8.9wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed No | 58c | 22.27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 111 | 55.9%62 W · 49 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x278f…5c17backed No | 67c | 22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec9…b76bbacked No | 58c | 17.36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 42cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Göztepe SK vs. Kasımpaşa SK end in a draw?this page
- Will Göztepe SK win on 2026-04-12?No won
- Will Kasımpaşa SK win on 2026-04-12?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.