Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Galions vs WIP Esports (BO3) - VCL France: Revolution Stage 2 Regular Season
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7118f28b8a4590724e2e75d3b217f4ecb17a19c82a5bbe5dc66d4eba36572f17
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- WIP Esportsof Galions, WIP Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,426
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,133
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,426 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked WIP Esports | 74c | 1,106$815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291 | 174 | 63.8%111 W · 63 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed WIP Esports | 68c | 753.05$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.12 | 301 | 47.2%142 W · 159 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Galions | 29c | 555.29$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.03 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Galions | 39c | 330.15$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.46 | 543 | 42.4%230 W · 313 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…6eacbacked Galions | 34c | 292.08$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.31 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +6.4wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +36%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked WIP Esports | 63c | 229.6$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.62 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked WIP Esports | 69c | 196.11$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.33 | 785 | 62.8%493 W · 292 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked Galions | 26c | 186$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.84 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed WIP Esports | 72c | 135$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.69 | 242 | 50.4%122 W · 120 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked WIP Esports | 75c | 123.96$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.4 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf740…cf50backed WIP Esports | 62c | 86.69$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.94 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c94…5b86backed WIP Esports | 43c | 77.31$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.07 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 30cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed WIP Esports | 67c | 72.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.76 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Galions | 23c | 70$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa02…8b07backed Galions | 59c | 66.19$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.01 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Galions | 28c | 63.05$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.72 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed WIP Esports | 58c | 60.52$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.31 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Galions | 30c | 55.84$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.88 | 697 | 22.8%159 W · 538 L | -94.4wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Galions | 44c | 52.54$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.87 | 275 | 46.2%127 W · 148 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Galions | 28c | 46.42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked Galions | 34c | 45.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.34 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34c5…db89backed Galions | 41c | 38.52$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0caa…b2bdbacked Galions | 57c | 36.93$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.05 | 149 | 59.7%89 W · 60 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked WIP Esports | 64c | 34.48$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.29 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1e…b64ebacked WIP Esports | 75c | 30.18$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbda…8bd5backed Galions | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Galions | 57c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 122 | 39.3%48 W · 74 L | -13.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed WIP Esports | 66c | 17.97$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.11 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Galions vs WIP Esports (BO3) - VCL France: Revolution Stage 2 Regular Seasonthis page
- Valorant: Galions vs WIP Esports - Map 1 WinnerWIP Esports won
- Valorant: Galions vs WIP Esports - Map 2 WinnerWIP Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.