TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xeb1e…b64e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
20
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
0

Best Category: Lol, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 53 out of 100; worst AI at 51.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT1573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix vs Barça eSports (BO3) - LES Regular Seasonbacked Barça eSports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.56
LoL: ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix vs Barça eSports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Barça eSports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.58
LoL: Kaufland Hangry Knights vs Team Orange Gaming (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Seasonbacked Team Orange Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$6.96
LoL: ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix vs Barça eSports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Barça eSports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+70.8%+$10.36
LoL: 7REX vs RED Academy (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Seasonbacked 7REX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+74.3%+$21.71
LoL: RMD Gaming vs INTZ e-Sports (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Seasonbacked INTZ e-Sports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+35.2%+$10.39
LoL: Team Vitality vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$13.76
LoL: HANJIN BRION Challengers vs DN SOOPers Challengers - Game 2 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.65
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Gen.G Global Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed BNK FearX Youth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.89
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Gen.G Global Academy - Game 2 Winnerbacked BNK FearX Youth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+36.7%+$7.23
LoL: Dignitas vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - LCS Group Stagebacked Shopify Rebellion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+28.6%+$28.6
LoL: Dignitas vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 1 Winnerbacked Shopify Rebellion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.82
LoL: Team Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO3) - LCS Group Stagebacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.21
LoL: Team Liquid vs FlyQuest - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+31.5%+$8.2
LoL: Fnatic vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+27.8%+$11.9
All 15 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
English Premier League: Bruno Fernandes breaks assists record?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$340Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+69.4%+$235.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$8.81
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$56.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Galions vs WIP Esports (BO3) - VCL France: Revolution Stage 2 Regular Seasonbacked WIP Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+33.2%+$7.52
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$14.1
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.