NHL · resolved market
Capitals vs. Bruins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x712826475a89c410ee78196d2fe87f76381925bda42ee94377dd969eb2b02b3f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bruinsof Capitals, Bruins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,218
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,600
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,218 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 277 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcabd…4da5backed Capitals | 45c | 10,017$4,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,507.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cea…ca73backed Bruins | 55c | 10,017$5,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,507.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Bruins | 54c | 1,882$1,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858.38 | 355 | 45.4%161 W · 194 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Capitals | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Capitals | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Bruins | 51c | 999.02$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.48 | 313 | 34.8%109 W · 204 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Capitals | 46c | 959.86$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444 | 203 | 45.3%92 W · 111 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98ec…7cd3backed Capitals | 49c | 800$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -65%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Bruins | 53c | 635.58$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.36 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Bruins | 53c | 620.51$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.64 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba1…2d08backed Bruins | 53c | 499.93$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.97 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +108%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Bruins | 53c | 375.94$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.39 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Capitals | 47c | 356.11$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.37 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6afa…8f06backed Capitals | 46c | 320.01$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.21 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.21per pick | 44cpaid | -46%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24fe…e52cbacked Capitals | 47c | 312.77$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd445…abf3backed Bruins | 52c | 299.97$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.98 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Capitals | 48c | 298.94$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.87 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Bruins | 53c | 296.96$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.73 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…59e2backed Capitals | 45c | 291.99$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.4 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fd…f96cbacked Capitals | 47c | 229.79$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc80…5df5backed Bruins | 55c | 229.35$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4817…6af6backed Bruins | 54c | 217.08$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.48 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e19…1341backed Capitals | 47c | 217.02$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Capitals | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 194 | 38.1%74 W · 120 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1625…dfc0backed Capitals | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Capitals | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Capitals | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.76 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Bruins | 53c | 151.62$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.7 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b22…e36dbacked Capitals | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Capitals | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 285 | 42.1%120 W · 165 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc018…018abacked Capitals | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.1 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x732b…85f4backed Bruins | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Capitals | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 500 | 49.4%247 W · 253 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Capitals | 46c | 99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.54 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc17a…1db3backed Capitals | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccb7…2babbacked Capitals | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe267…c813backed Capitals | 46c | 82.32$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.87 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ee…c10dbacked Capitals | 46c | 80.1$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e2…1933backed Capitals | 46c | 78.83$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49a8…7bbdbacked Bruins | 54c | 77.4$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.95 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe411…9367backed Bruins | 54c | 73.83$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664e…905abacked Capitals | 45c | 72.02$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…d18cbacked Capitals | 46c | 71.74$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9207…3b48backed Capitals | 46c | 65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc95c…cef3backed Capitals | 45c | 64.97$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.43 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | -14.9wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc224…cd43backed Capitals | 48c | 62.94$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 190 | 57.9%110 W · 80 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99ec…388ebacked Capitals | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb46…3936backed Capitals | 46c | 61.75$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.41 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0732…c02fbacked Bruins | 54c | 59.59$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.41 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…381bbacked Bruins | 54c | 59.58$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa90d…cfc4backed Bruins | 54c | 54.57$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4202…9611backed Capitals | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…4b13backed Capitals | 46c | 53.6$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeacb…ea61backed Capitals | 46c | 53.23$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa19…36ecbacked Bruins | 54c | 52.53$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…a04bbacked Capitals | 26c | 51.74$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd9…a970backed Bruins | 55c | 51.59$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.43 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea6…6b5dbacked Bruins | 54c | 48.66$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf689…72b1backed Capitals | 46c | 47.65$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99e1…42c8backed Bruins | 54c | 46.07$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…d9f9backed Bruins | 53c | 46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.41 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc462…2291backed Capitals | 46c | 44.65$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f7b…6d87backed Bruins | 55c | 44.43$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.99 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab1…a4e2backed Bruins | 62c | 44.35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.85 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…73bebacked Capitals | 47c | 43.77$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0db2…048abacked Capitals | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x305a…b87dbacked Capitals | 44c | 43.01$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.93 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b32…8033backed Bruins | 53c | 42.96$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67b8…2449backed Capitals | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e09…fc91backed Capitals | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc71…323fbacked Bruins | 55c | 42.47$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.11 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbeee…da14backed Bruins | 54c | 42.46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.53 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +106.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4741…7788backed Bruins | 53c | 42.14$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf72…6b7cbacked Capitals | 47c | 42.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c52…b7acbacked Capitals | 46c | 42.03$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8344…6a4bbacked Capitals | 46c | 41.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73ef…1276backed Capitals | 46c | 41.95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd450…4177backed Bruins | 54c | 41.94$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.29 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +16%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf93e…3fe2backed Capitals | 45c | 41.88$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65ef…2f99backed Bruins | 54c | 41.66$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3f…8f77backed Capitals | 45c | 41.63$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.73 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4419…e703backed Bruins | 55c | 41.63$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.73 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d59…60c4backed Capitals | 46c | 41.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc6…7496backed Capitals | 46c | 41.56$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.12 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +44%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54c2…b1d7backed Bruins | 55c | 41.47$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9746…f285backed Bruins | 54c | 41.36$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.02 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafb6…6431backed Bruins | 54c | 41$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0733…31c2backed Bruins | 55c | 40.72$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.32 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…7c5ebacked Capitals | 46c | 40.71$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.73 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12df…182ebacked Bruins | 53c | 40.64$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.1 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f52…dc62backed Bruins | 54c | 40.64$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.69 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53f1…b38fbacked Bruins | 54c | 40.51$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.63 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 54cpaid | +54%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd71d…f896backed Bruins | 55c | 40.03$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…ce6dbacked Bruins | 55c | 39.88$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.95 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0468…613fbacked Bruins | 53c | 39.57$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b0b…d856backed Bruins | 54c | 39.43$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.14 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9d…5ee3backed Capitals | 46c | 39.43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e8f…6726backed Capitals | 46c | 39.41$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.13 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43c9…cc37backed Bruins | 54c | 38.78$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.84 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4444…397cbacked Bruins | 54c | 38.67$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.79 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.