Asian League · resolved market
Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. Gangwon FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x71297b30d4858f114e6f354e37007a1d7918eb5145998b0187334db2e4a1390b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,944
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,295
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,944 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 20c | 3,917$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.41 | 151 | 19.2%29 W · 122 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 80c | 1,216$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.15 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 80c | 732.18$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.44 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 80c | 200.15$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.03 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 80c | 178.95$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.79 | 693 | 52.2%362 W · 331 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 28c | 90.39$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.31 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…3427backed Under | 69c | 90$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.9 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Over | 31c | 90$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 279 | 64.9%181 W · 98 L | +28.1wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 71c | 85$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.65 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Under | 80c | 32.79$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.56 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 80c | 28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 405 | 50.6%205 W · 200 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Under | 80c | 27.48$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5569…c927backed Under | 79c | 22.35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.59 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 80c | 21$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce0…9d0bbacked Under | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -4.2wins | -0.19per pick | 65cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…84f7backed Under | 70c | 15.65$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.71 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 79c | 15.17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.11 | 326 | 54%176 W · 150 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed Under | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 74 | 67.6%50 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed Under | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f04…2392backed Under | 80c | 13.12$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.62 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. Gangwon FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. Gangwon FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. Gangwon FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. Gangwon FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. Gangwon FC: Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. Gangwon FC: Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. Gangwon FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. Gangwon FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. Gangwon FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. Gangwon FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Gangwon FC (-1.5)Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC won
- Spread: Gangwon FC (-2.5)Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC won
- Spread: Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC (-1.5)Gangwon FC won
- Spread: Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC (-2.5)Gangwon FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.