Tennis · resolved market
Argentina Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Tomas Etcheverry
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x71507f0a4edf091796901122ef4019ca09366e1cd763d95c574199e5bae62fa6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cerundoloof Cerundolo, Etcheverry
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $66,216
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $75,615
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,216 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Etcheverry | 13c | 10,703$1,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,346.37 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Etcheverry | 30c | 4,244$1,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,277.29 | 761 | 40.6%309 W · 452 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed Etcheverry | 2c | 3,464$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.97 | 1,206 | 8%96 W · 1,110 L | +17.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cfb…0628backed Cerundolo | 65c | 3,063$2,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,061.36 | 302 | 41.7%126 W · 176 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9f…e125backed Cerundolo | 69c | 2,934$2,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910.5 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Etcheverry | 16c | 2,785$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.12 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Etcheverry | 18c | 2,474$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.26 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Etcheverry | 24c | 2,191$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.98 | 813 | 49.1%399 W · 414 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Etcheverry | 14c | 1,418$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 973 | 7.9%77 W · 896 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Etcheverry | 16c | 939.12$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.3 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e9…a86ebacked Cerundolo | 75c | 898.05$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.42 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Etcheverry | 34c | 657.47$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.54 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Cerundolo | 65c | 641.67$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.65 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Cerundolo | 79c | 595.13$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.6 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x903f…de5fbacked Etcheverry | 33c | 584.21$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.49 | 168 | 30.4%51 W · 117 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Etcheverry | 5c | 576.55$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.96 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Etcheverry | 33c | 500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 347 | 45.2%157 W · 190 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0c…218abacked Etcheverry | 32c | 400$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 541 | 38.1%206 W · 335 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Etcheverry | 14c | 374.7$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.54 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Etcheverry | 35c | 343$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.05 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Cerundolo | 70c | 334$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.2 | 600 | 55.7%334 W · 266 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Etcheverry | 29c | 333.53$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.63 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8612…6a0abacked Cerundolo | 76c | 313.77$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.77 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0676…f0f0backed Cerundolo | 70c | 298.66$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.6 | 205 | 52.7%108 W · 97 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd056…f1bebacked Etcheverry | 34c | 296.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 643 | 50.2%323 W · 320 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Etcheverry | 10c | 277.2$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.86 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4537…fd02backed Cerundolo | 70c | 178.57$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.57 | 389 | 51.9%202 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Etcheverry | 31c | 173.06$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.67 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Etcheverry | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…f11bbacked Cerundolo | 64c | 155.38$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.38 | 96 | 63.5%61 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4c…1ca9backed Cerundolo | 66c | 152.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.21 | 153 | 63.4%97 W · 56 L | +11.5wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa519…2cc1backed Etcheverry | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Cerundolo | 67c | 149.76$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.76 | 1,841 | 48.5%892 W · 949 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df4…4eacbacked Etcheverry | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3578…f163backed Cerundolo | 70c | 135.13$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.54 | 398 | 72.4%288 W · 110 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Etcheverry | 37c | 135$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1eef…dc2ebacked Cerundolo | 67c | 120$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 22 | 81.8%18 W · 4 L | +4.0wins | +0.18per pick | 64cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9da2…ed3abacked Cerundolo | 66c | 116.76$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.76 | 106 | 68.9%73 W · 33 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf95a…d895backed Etcheverry | 18c | 114.33$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.02 | 189 | 32.3%61 W · 128 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e4…5bf6backed Cerundolo | 69c | 110$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.1 | 206 | 53.4%110 W · 96 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe44b…6e0abacked Etcheverry | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 220 | 39.1%86 W · 134 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Etcheverry | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Etcheverry | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Etcheverry | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 156 | 48.7%76 W · 80 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Etcheverry | 35c | 82.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.34 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Etcheverry | 32c | 81.9$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.2 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Etcheverry | 19c | 76.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87b9…b193backed Cerundolo | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 258 | 62.4%161 W · 97 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2db8…e042backed Cerundolo | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 749 | 61.8%463 W · 286 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbebf…9baebacked Etcheverry | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 908 | 54.5%495 W · 413 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5acf…0df2backed Etcheverry | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3a…7dcbbacked Cerundolo | 70c | 61.03$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.31 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb478…ac0abacked Cerundolo | 65c | 54.06$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.06 | 360 | 47.2%170 W · 190 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Etcheverry | 40c | 52$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.85 | 381 | 33.9%129 W · 252 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c10…4e76backed Etcheverry | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 333 | 26.4%88 W · 245 L | -14.1wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Cerundolo | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Etcheverry | 34c | 42.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Etcheverry | 26c | 40.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked Etcheverry | 34c | 35.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa74d…734cbacked Cerundolo | 64c | 35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 284 | 62.3%177 W · 107 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4712…5bd6backed Cerundolo | 64c | 31.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 144 | 75%108 W · 36 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1793…4ebbbacked Cerundolo | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 940 | 60.6%570 W · 370 L | +11.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38ed…af11backed Cerundolo | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +22%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b89…98d6backed Cerundolo | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 388 | 66.2%257 W · 131 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee3…f07ebacked Cerundolo | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 60 | 68.3%41 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 72cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06e0…ad29backed Cerundolo | 70c | 15.71$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.71 | 94 | 70.2%66 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 73cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c77…1d14backed Cerundolo | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Argentina Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Tomas Etcheverrythis page
- Cerundolo vs. Etcheverry: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Set Handicap: Cerundolo (-1.5) vs Etcheverry (+1.5)Cerundolo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.