MLB · resolved market
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Athletics
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x721b086c71624a4f758f6507f6352b721c9fb7a8f8aacff278297f1a7c14b0f6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Athleticsof Los Angeles Dodgers, Athletics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,446
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,446 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xada5…db70backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 63c | 3,529$2,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,231.74 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ca…cccbbacked Athletics | 17c | 2,356$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,964.52 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Athletics | 37c | 1,302$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814.35 | 408 | 46.1%188 W · 220 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Athletics | 36c | 1,142$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.26 | 474 | 47.3%224 W · 250 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Athletics | 4c | 854.65$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.98 | 33 | 6.1%2 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | +66.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Athletics | 40c | 818.2$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.51 | 100 | 33%33 W · 67 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe278…b608backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 71c | 749.33$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.03 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 76c | 533.46$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.36 | 230 | 36.1%83 W · 147 L | -11.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 78c | 404.74$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.67 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.24per pick | 42cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Athletics | 35c | 374.97$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.3 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5271…0f95backed Athletics | 36c | 336.6$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.36 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 75c | 206.04$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.18 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Athletics | 37c | 200$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 3,303 | 46.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Athletics | 27c | 200$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 65c | 150.64$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.36 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Athletics | 43c | 150$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.5 | 170 | 50%85 W · 85 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Athletics | 17c | 139.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.96 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Athletics | 27c | 100$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Athletics | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.95 | 856 | 35.7%306 W · 550 L | -24.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Athletics | 25c | 71.67$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.97 | 1,728 | 50.4%871 W · 857 L | +57.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Athletics | 25c | 69.52$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.26 | 841 | 22.7%191 W · 650 L | -81.4wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9865…f6afbacked Athletics | 41c | 60.83$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.83 | 310 | 32.9%102 W · 208 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Athletics | 30c | 50.24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.31 | 1,928 | 17.2%331 W · 1,597 L | -320.9wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xc282…0c5fbacked Athletics | 26c | 49.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.63 | 67 | 26.9%18 W · 49 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Athletics | 40c | 48$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.03 | 103 | 53.4%55 W · 48 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbaa…dd4fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 71c | 39.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.39 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 68c | 36$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.44 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 65c | 36$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 417 | 51.3%214 W · 203 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Athletics | 41c | 35.24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.79 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb691…b39dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 71c | 28.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.87 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 79c | 26$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.66 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 61c | 25.64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Athletics | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebb…1e6bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 66c | 23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.23 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1683…6906backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -29%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a2…23a0backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 70c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -3.3wins | -0.24per pick | 67cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.