Tennis · resolved market
ITF Focsani: Cristiana Nicoleta Todoni vs Sophie Greiner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x721f0bdc7c2dba084f8c88061ea8306831ec09e78d8f865c0925939b0dfd4f63
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sophie Greinerof Cristiana Nicoleta Todoni, Sophie Greiner
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,050
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,707
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,050 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Cristiana Nicoleta Todoni | 56c | 8,009$4,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,469.82 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc92…649dbacked Sophie Greiner | 25c | 4,803$1,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,602.55 | 91 | 18.7%17 W · 74 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3304…1c1cbacked Sophie Greiner | 78c | 3,842$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$841.97 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Cristiana Nicoleta Todoni | 63c | 2,626$1,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,656.43 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9360…67f0backed Cristiana Nicoleta Todoni | 58c | 1,714$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Sophie Greiner | 56c | 1,509$847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.82 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Sophie Greiner | 32c | 1,076$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.09 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…a1a6backed Cristiana Nicoleta Todoni | 64c | 960.19$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.14 | 271 | 48%130 W · 141 L | -12.8wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Cristiana Nicoleta Todoni | 72c | 851.86$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.34 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Cristiana Nicoleta Todoni | 73c | 816.67$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6200…7d23backed Sophie Greiner | 33c | 710.34$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.76 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5b…7650backed Sophie Greiner | 28c | 705.08$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.08 | 95 | 44.2%42 W · 53 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Sophie Greiner | 33c | 542.59$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.7 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Sophie Greiner | 43c | 523.42$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.49 | 376 | 45.7%172 W · 204 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Cristiana Nicoleta Todoni | 73c | 511.36$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.73 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ac…7deebacked Cristiana Nicoleta Todoni | 39c | 458.94$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.46 | 332 | 53.6%178 W · 154 L | +21.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Sophie Greiner | 32c | 353.92$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.08 | 278 | 36.3%101 W · 177 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cristiana Nicoleta Todoni | 73c | 328$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.44 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab0…b46abacked Sophie Greiner | 32c | 321.85$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.89 | 237 | 35%83 W · 154 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…986cbacked Cristiana Nicoleta Todoni | 66c | 298.24$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.84 | 636 | 48%305 W · 331 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Sophie Greiner | 23c | 252.18$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.83 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Cristiana Nicoleta Todoni | 34c | 205.88$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1,142 | 47.3%540 W · 602 L | +65.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Cristiana Nicoleta Todoni | 54c | 205.47$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.72 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Sophie Greiner | 33c | 198.1$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.36 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed Sophie Greiner | 32c | 187.5$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 654 | 34.9%228 W · 426 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Cristiana Nicoleta Todoni | 72c | 183.11$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.78 | 921 | 38.4%354 W · 567 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50dc…b61abacked Sophie Greiner | 12c | 150$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.75 | 275 | 30.2%83 W · 192 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf01f…e8fbbacked Sophie Greiner | 13c | 150$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.94 | 264 | 26.9%71 W · 193 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce5c…a409backed Sophie Greiner | 16c | 100$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.08 | 36 | 13.9%5 W · 31 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Sophie Greiner | 36c | 60$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Cristiana Nicoleta Todoni | 63c | 53.31$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.7 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Cristiana Nicoleta Todoni | 45c | 44.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 578 | 45.7%264 W · 314 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75ab…4a73backed Sophie Greiner | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +300%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed Cristiana Nicoleta Todoni | 75c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 796 | 46%366 W · 430 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Cristiana Nicoleta Todoni | 70c | 28.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Sophie Greiner | 40c | 27.84$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.79 | 896 | 63.7%571 W · 325 L | +63.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Cristiana Nicoleta Todoni | 78c | 27.7$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.62 | 1,102 | 56.5%623 W · 479 L | +52.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9081…8a6ebacked Cristiana Nicoleta Todoni | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 417 | 68.1%284 W · 133 L | -21.4wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Cristiana Nicoleta Todoni | 65c | 25.96$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.78 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb11a…a5d9backed Cristiana Nicoleta Todoni | 70c | 15.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 127 | 48.8%62 W · 65 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bce…c696backed Cristiana Nicoleta Todoni | 74c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 180 | 72.8%131 W · 49 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Cristiana Nicoleta Todoni | 72c | 13.89$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.