CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs ODDIK (BO3) - FERJEE In House Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x727933841e503149a8a64f51732571ec1b2934f54904afa95d299ae6f64449fc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ODDIKof Marsborne, ODDIK
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,835
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,687
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,835 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7a14…d748backed ODDIK | 62c | 3,436$2,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,306.86 | 573 | 58.8%337 W · 236 L | +16.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf743…1811backed Marsborne | 40c | 1,761$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.68 | 298 | 31.5%94 W · 204 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Marsborne | 35c | 1,388$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.04 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa16b…b541backed Marsborne | 53c | 1,230$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.9 | 439 | 54.9%241 W · 198 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed ODDIK | 47c | 804.46$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.36 | 467 | 49.7%232 W · 235 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…ba33backed Marsborne | 32c | 583.12$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.32 | 168 | 47%79 W · 89 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…16e3backed ODDIK | 51c | 500$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.25 | 765 | 46.7%357 W · 408 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked ODDIK | 46c | 444$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.76 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked Marsborne | 54c | 444$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.76 | 362 | 53.3%193 W · 169 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Marsborne | 43c | 441.99$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.04 | 285 | 49.5%141 W · 144 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26ac…a735backed ODDIK | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 244 | 29.5%72 W · 172 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…9a01backed Marsborne | 29c | 416.9$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.4 | 439 | 33.7%148 W · 291 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed ODDIK | 70c | 399.99$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe2…e4d2backed Marsborne | 38c | 326$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.62 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…968cbacked Marsborne | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked Marsborne | 42c | 281.52$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.24 | 627 | 38.8%243 W · 384 L | -31.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Marsborne | 43c | 214.2$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd2…1f27backed Marsborne | 44c | 202.83$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 548 | 39.8%218 W · 330 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb950…4dd4backed Marsborne | 43c | 200$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 567 | 38.8%220 W · 347 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…6eacbacked Marsborne | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 203 | 58.1%118 W · 85 L | +22.4wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +25%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Marsborne | 43c | 150$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.5 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd33a…1fe2backed ODDIK | 73c | 136.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.82 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa7…db93backed ODDIK | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 218 | 67%146 W · 72 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x947b…0a37backed ODDIK | 65c | 109.53$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.06 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60b8…d47dbacked Marsborne | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 608 | 57.2%348 W · 260 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea8…0491backed Marsborne | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 167 | 41.9%70 W · 97 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa442…dca3backed ODDIK | 67c | 97.01$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.01 | 303 | 54.5%165 W · 138 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8da6…107abacked Marsborne | 29c | 96.55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 129 | 48.8%63 W · 66 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x912e…0eaebacked Marsborne | 36c | 92.78$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.4 | 364 | 34.1%124 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed ODDIK | 60c | 90.14$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.75 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Marsborne | 28c | 78.57$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 616 | 38.1%235 W · 381 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf11a…1002backed Marsborne | 34c | 76.24$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 280 | 48.6%136 W · 144 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff5…46a2backed Marsborne | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cce…c2b3backed Marsborne | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5747…7fdfbacked Marsborne | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 261 | 55.2%144 W · 117 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeeda…001ebacked Marsborne | 34c | 67.33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.93 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Marsborne | 32c | 52.19$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 1,397 | 52.4%732 W · 665 L | +30.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x023d…23acbacked ODDIK | 71c | 41.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.97 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe2df…2368backed Marsborne | 44c | 40.91$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd1a…0b79backed Marsborne | 29c | 35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f5…7a95backed ODDIK | 72c | 34.92$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.92 | 237 | 51.5%122 W · 115 L | -14.7wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6de0…ea80backed Marsborne | 49c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 196 | 55.1%108 W · 88 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3335…f6debacked ODDIK | 80c | 21.58$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 157 | 70.1%110 W · 47 L | +13.2wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed ODDIK | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb997…faacbacked Marsborne | 62c | 16.13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 205 | 53.2%109 W · 96 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs ODDIK (BO3) - FERJEE In House Group Bthis page
- Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs ODDIK - Map 1 WinnerODDIK won
- Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs ODDIK - Map 2 WinnerODDIK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.