Tennis · resolved market
Dublin: Jurij Rodionov vs Quinn Vandecasteele
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x72ad689becb745c29b4e3f799e774b9177475c1fee04e9578a6aa9dd0accf665
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jurij Rodionovof Jurij Rodionov, Quinn Vandecasteele
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,391
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,677
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,391 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5d1a…e943backed Quinn Vandecasteele | 16c | 1,950$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.42 | 215 | 24.7%53 W · 162 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Quinn Vandecasteele | 26c | 1,155$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.24 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Jurij Rodionov | 79c | 909.39$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.79 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Jurij Rodionov | 78c | 681.2$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.73 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Quinn Vandecasteele | 25c | 553.48$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.68 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Quinn Vandecasteele | 8c | 330$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64f4…b38ebacked Quinn Vandecasteele | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 277 | 32.5%90 W · 187 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Jurij Rodionov | 69c | 268.31$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.18 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Jurij Rodionov | 73c | 240$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.8 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Quinn Vandecasteele | 24c | 213.81$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.31 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad5…ccdebacked Jurij Rodionov | 74c | 211$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.86 | 550 | 32.7%180 W · 370 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Jurij Rodionov | 74c | 181.85$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.1 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Jurij Rodionov | 76c | 137.97$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddf5…aaa3backed Jurij Rodionov | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 692 | 53.3%369 W · 323 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75f…d7f6backed Jurij Rodionov | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 207 | 64.7%134 W · 73 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Jurij Rodionov | 76c | 129.87$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.17 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x444a…00bebacked Quinn Vandecasteele | 31c | 129.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 88 | 31.8%28 W · 60 L | -8.3wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Quinn Vandecasteele | 17c | 123$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.74 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Quinn Vandecasteele | 28c | 104.21$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.87 | 1,228 | 23.1%284 W · 944 L | -164.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Quinn Vandecasteele | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Jurij Rodionov | 68c | 97.18$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.18 | 1,639 | 55.1%903 W · 736 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Quinn Vandecasteele | 21c | 90$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Jurij Rodionov | 75c | 90$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 1,556 | 42.4%660 W · 896 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Jurij Rodionov | 73c | 88$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.76 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0813…41e1backed Jurij Rodionov | 76c | 80$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 371 | 58.8%218 W · 153 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…fe2fbacked Quinn Vandecasteele | 31c | 78$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.18 | 627 | 27.3%171 W · 456 L | -15.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Jurij Rodionov | 77c | 66$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.18 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Quinn Vandecasteele | 24c | 52.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Jurij Rodionov | 76c | 49.47$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.87 | 222 | 55.4%123 W · 99 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Jurij Rodionov | 75c | 47.8$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.18 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3b…cea6backed Jurij Rodionov | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 83 | 65.1%54 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5edb…00a9backed Jurij Rodionov | 76c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 238 | 42.9%102 W · 136 L | -21.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Jurij Rodionov | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 239 | 54.8%131 W · 108 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x767e…98cabacked Jurij Rodionov | 76c | 19.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 408 | 61.3%250 W · 158 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ea…42e8backed Jurij Rodionov | 75c | 19.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.85 | 898 | 59.7%536 W · 362 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2638…8e2dbacked Jurij Rodionov | 74c | 17.39$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.52 | 316 | 57%180 W · 136 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Jurij Rodionov | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed Jurij Rodionov | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 437 | 50.3%220 W · 217 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf051…900ebacked Jurij Rodionov | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.1 | 103 | 68.9%71 W · 32 L | +8.9wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Jurij Rodionov | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6332…4576backed Jurij Rodionov | 77c | 14.35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.36 | 81 | 65.4%53 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.