Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: NOVO Esports vs FALKE ESPORTS (BO3) - VCL Spain: Rising Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x72d7b1e4228e67725f9c9ffbf26c161447304f6cc933af280a5361b5fd57f57a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NOVO Esportsof NOVO Esports, FALKE ESPORTS
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,028
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,441
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,028 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked NOVO Esports | 66c | 5,912$3,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,014.65 | 781 | 62%484 W · 297 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…75a0backed FALKE ESPORTS | 34c | 4,223$1,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,430.99 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b37…1f70backed FALKE ESPORTS | 39c | 3,192$1,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,248.94 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…bafcbacked NOVO Esports | 60c | 2,070$1,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.08 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed FALKE ESPORTS | 38c | 1,060$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.8 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked FALKE ESPORTS | 38c | 488.62$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.63 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79c9…b2f1backed FALKE ESPORTS | 25c | 472.96$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked FALKE ESPORTS | 33c | 462.48$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 308 | 28.2%87 W · 221 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked FALKE ESPORTS | 35c | 446.48$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.04 | 610 | 35.9%219 W · 391 L | -17.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddad…1285backed NOVO Esports | 62c | 408$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.06 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 37cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24eb…75eebacked NOVO Esports | 62c | 295$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.15 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked FALKE ESPORTS | 37c | 279.11$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.39 | 235 | 48.5%114 W · 121 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x260b…1ab1backed NOVO Esports | 62c | 279.03$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.03 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +71.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed NOVO Esports | 63c | 244.17$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.25 | 275 | 46.2%127 W · 148 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25d7…f9c9backed NOVO Esports | 63c | 242.45$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.58 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x858e…1c3bbacked NOVO Esports | 72c | 241.47$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.06 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d40…2230backed NOVO Esports | 69c | 217.46$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed FALKE ESPORTS | 31c | 212.46$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.86 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed FALKE ESPORTS | 38c | 199.99$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked NOVO Esports | 75c | 198.45$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.61 | 888 | 44.4%394 W · 494 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed FALKE ESPORTS | 7c | 196.38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 779 | 29.5%230 W · 549 L | -72.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed FALKE ESPORTS | 36c | 182.26$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.57 | 176 | 54.5%96 W · 80 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked FALKE ESPORTS | 38c | 180.2$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.98 | 337 | 53.1%179 W · 158 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1430…a753backed NOVO Esports | 60c | 180$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.4 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b86…30f8backed FALKE ESPORTS | 39c | 163$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked FALKE ESPORTS | 34c | 155$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.7 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b49…ceb4backed FALKE ESPORTS | 39c | 150$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…153dbacked FALKE ESPORTS | 39c | 149$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b17…9455backed FALKE ESPORTS | 39c | 119$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed NOVO Esports | 61c | 113.2$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.15 | 112 | 58%65 W · 47 L | +12.8wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed FALKE ESPORTS | 35c | 102.09$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.95 | 312 | 32.7%102 W · 210 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…3c72backed NOVO Esports | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6149…8a58backed NOVO Esports | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +3.4wins | +0.20per pick | 57cpaid | +38%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5a50…ea80backed FALKE ESPORTS | 37c | 94.57$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.33 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7db8…bbcebacked NOVO Esports | 62c | 93.55$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.55 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed NOVO Esports | 62c | 86$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.68 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5271…0f95backed FALKE ESPORTS | 39c | 82$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.98 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -3.9wins | -0.19per pick | 42cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfde4…37a7backed NOVO Esports | 61c | 72$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb9…cb5dbacked FALKE ESPORTS | 33c | 70$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 151 | 45%68 W · 83 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed NOVO Esports | 62c | 64$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.32 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf26…f113backed NOVO Esports | 61c | 61.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed FALKE ESPORTS | 32c | 61.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.59 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked NOVO Esports | 64c | 60$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bb…4d3fbacked NOVO Esports | 77c | 58.21$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x370c…3eb1backed FALKE ESPORTS | 39c | 55$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.23 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…c3c8backed FALKE ESPORTS | 35c | 52.04$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.21 | 285 | 48.4%138 W · 147 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8b…a0cabacked NOVO Esports | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18c2…7151backed NOVO Esports | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked NOVO Esports | 63c | 47.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.78 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…06e3backed NOVO Esports | 61c | 46$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.94 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 63cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc12…524cbacked NOVO Esports | 61c | 45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x482c…4da1backed FALKE ESPORTS | 38c | 44.16$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.62 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed NOVO Esports | 61c | 39.27$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.24 | 811 | 34.9%283 W · 528 L | -60.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x20c5…1c21backed NOVO Esports | 62c | 39$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed FALKE ESPORTS | 39c | 37.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 75 | 30.7%23 W · 52 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb524…ac78backed NOVO Esports | 61c | 36$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9d…2269backed FALKE ESPORTS | 32c | 35.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7633…b82dbacked FALKE ESPORTS | 39c | 35.38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked NOVO Esports | 79c | 33.61$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 90 | 62.2%56 W · 34 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2384…b231backed NOVO Esports | 61c | 33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97aa…9faebacked NOVO Esports | 61c | 31$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7731…26aabacked NOVO Esports | 61c | 31$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed NOVO Esports | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.33 | 415 | 37.1%154 W · 261 L | -26.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked NOVO Esports | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 601 | 54.2%326 W · 275 L | +24.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed FALKE ESPORTS | 37c | 29.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 636 | 52.7%335 W · 301 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed FALKE ESPORTS | 38c | 29.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 237 | 32.9%78 W · 159 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2e…db84backed NOVO Esports | 61c | 29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59c3…268dbacked FALKE ESPORTS | 39c | 28.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15c2…9062backed NOVO Esports | 61c | 28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7db0…f397backed NOVO Esports | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed NOVO Esports | 64c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.72 | 147 | 57.8%85 W · 62 L | +13.3wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed NOVO Esports | 64c | 24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.72 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc03d…07e1backed NOVO Esports | 64c | 23.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.39 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dde…5e80backed NOVO Esports | 60c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93d1…fd4abacked NOVO Esports | 61c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaddc…b43dbacked NOVO Esports | 61c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x517a…9fc6backed NOVO Esports | 61c | 21.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked NOVO Esports | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d16…0abbbacked NOVO Esports | 62c | 19.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.36 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: NOVO Esports vs FALKE ESPORTS (BO3) - VCL Spain: Rising Group Bthis page
- Map Handicap: NOVO (-1.5) vs FALKE ESPORTS (+1.5)NOVO Esports won
- Valorant: NOVO Esports vs FALKE ESPORTS - Map 1 WinnerNOVO Esports won
- Valorant: NOVO Esports vs FALKE ESPORTS - Map 2 WinnerNOVO Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.