TailMyPicks

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Tennis · resolved market

Murcia: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Roberto Carballes Baena

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Roberto Carballes Baenaof Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo, Roberto Carballes Baena
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$68,210

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,210 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo17c3,415$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$595.457,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo16c2,474$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.962,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xff80…8cb5backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo27c1,617$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.8811530.4%35 W · 80 L-10.5wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-27.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x3cfb…0628backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo33c1,500$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.2530241.7%126 W · 176 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Roberto Carballes Baena68c1,396$947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.461,97346.3%914 W · 1,059 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ed9…9949backed Roberto Carballes Baena73c1,000$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27046553.8%250 W · 215 L-1.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80ef…3973backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10260%0 W · 26 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo26c973.8$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.566,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x152e…8285backed Roberto Carballes Baena78c896.2$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.21883.3%15 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick73cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo19c860.91$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.222,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x622b…5a4abacked Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo32c846.2$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.7835040.9%143 W · 207 L+0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo19c785.78$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.539,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ee9…1362backed Roberto Carballes Baena77c761.16$584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.6372542.6%309 W · 416 L-20.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe5af…f9e3backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo27c755.83$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.530225.8%78 W · 224 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1df4…0540backed Roberto Carballes Baena78c708.62$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.216043.3%26 W · 34 L-9.5wins-0.16per pick59cpaid-31.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x9e38…1b52backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo17c699.99$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11961924.4%151 W · 468 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Roberto Carballes Baena70c552.51$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.563,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo18c508.46$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.352,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo19c504.1$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.864,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo32c473.56$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.2822033.6%74 W · 146 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd84b…0df3backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo13c432.1$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.1715151.7%78 W · 73 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-14.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo23c421.72$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.61,26529.2%370 W · 895 L-13.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Roberto Carballes Baena63c403.61$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.818,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd2b…4090backed Roberto Carballes Baena68c367.65$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.658246.3%38 W · 44 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2778…8547backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo11c326.09$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.872737%10 W · 17 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-35.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked Roberto Carballes Baena68c295$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.42,05859.5%1,225 W · 833 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Roberto Carballes Baena70c286.11$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.097,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd552…5ebebacked Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo39c255.92$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10036038.9%140 W · 220 L-0.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo17c252.31$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.566,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbc4…6517backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo16c236.55$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.19837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-29.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo32c236$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.527427%20 W · 54 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo7c209.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.411,10641%454 W · 652 L+2.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecae…b906backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo17c200$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.71,02646.8%480 W · 546 L+14.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x798e…4df3backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo15c184.37$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.893938.5%15 W · 24 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-37.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo21c184.09$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3967836%244 W · 434 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…5e2abacked Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo32c181.8$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.187635.5%27 W · 49 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-16.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x10ff…ff77backed Roberto Carballes Baena68c177$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.6496755.3%535 W · 432 L+3.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b7f…e826backed Roberto Carballes Baena80c175.32$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.6569350.5%350 W · 343 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo22c170.6$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381,13027.9%315 W · 815 L+1.6wins0.00per pick28cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb69…c3e5backed Roberto Carballes Baena67c150$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.51,07655.5%597 W · 479 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45c1…4364backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo25c146$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.55143.1%22 W · 29 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo17c141.24$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.682,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ace…3afdbacked Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo32c137.5$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4412152.1%63 W · 58 L+7.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd4ac…5e19backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo23c122.11$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.6921957.1%125 W · 94 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fab…708bbacked Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo20c120$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241,27630.4%388 W · 888 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Roberto Carballes Baena77c120$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.3688455%486 W · 398 L+37.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo20c114.6$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.763,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x588b…8593backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo44c114.43$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,10743.5%481 W · 626 L-3.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo17c113$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2169249.6%343 W · 349 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo11c100.91$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.11,37916.4%226 W · 1,153 L-108.5wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-49.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x58f2…692ebacked Roberto Carballes Baena68c100$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3253457.7%308 W · 226 L-0.9wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd68e…8048backed Roberto Carballes Baena68c99.87$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.8741272.8%300 W · 112 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick71cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x92f5…13e5backed Roberto Carballes Baena67c98.29$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.392025%5 W · 15 L-4.8wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-55.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x94a1…2075backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo32c90$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.86344.4%28 W · 35 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x93cb…6b6ebacked Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo18c88.99$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.113116.1%5 W · 26 L-5.9wins-0.19per pick35cpaid-65.8%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x6723…a540backed Roberto Carballes Baena68c88.8$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.121457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70ac…0c7dbacked Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo31c86.66$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.272,53753.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L+61.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo29c83.03$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1436333.9%123 W · 240 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d9f…77aebacked Roberto Carballes Baena67c74.63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.635248.1%25 W · 27 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x27f3…8382backed Roberto Carballes Baena68c73.24$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.2421847.2%103 W · 115 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Roberto Carballes Baena78c70$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.632,11855.9%1,185 W · 933 L+40.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Roberto Carballes Baena66c65$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.14,60248.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L+34.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0f3…f7dfbacked Roberto Carballes Baena66c60.6$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.638268.1%260 W · 122 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Roberto Carballes Baena77c60$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.81,24551.9%646 W · 599 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc798…a8e9backed Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo32c42.32$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5453544.1%236 W · 299 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca81…f2abbacked Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo31c39.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.414746.3%68 W · 79 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Roberto Carballes Baena66c39.9$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.577,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa74d…734cbacked Roberto Carballes Baena69c35$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.8528462.3%177 W · 107 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc539…5ec2backed Roberto Carballes Baena75c33.33$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.3332843.9%144 W · 184 L-11.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo32c33.22$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.632,22945%1,002 W · 1,227 L+3.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbebf…9baebacked Roberto Carballes Baena68c29.2$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.290854.5%495 W · 413 L+21.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c0a…644abacked Roberto Carballes Baena80c25.15$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.1516175.2%121 W · 40 L+20.4wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+16.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x216b…fe46backed Roberto Carballes Baena66c25$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.530452%158 W · 146 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x46ea…225bbacked Roberto Carballes Baena64c23.44$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.442755.6%15 W · 12 L-3.6wins-0.13per pick69cpaid-19.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb5b9…948abacked Roberto Carballes Baena80c23.36$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.6742358.6%248 W · 175 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8761…5619backed Roberto Carballes Baena69c21.74$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.742466.7%16 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7685…482cbacked Roberto Carballes Baena79c21.33$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.485375.5%40 W · 13 L+5.0wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+15.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc8ed…72efbacked Roberto Carballes Baena67c20.11$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.6738754.3%210 W · 177 L+11.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Roberto Carballes Baena68c17.51$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.6257252.3%299 W · 273 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4a5…80d4backed Roberto Carballes Baena68c17.24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.5231853.5%170 W · 148 L+0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9555…889abacked Roberto Carballes Baena68c16.18$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.1858067.8%393 W · 187 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.