Premier League · resolved market
Will Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Portsmouth FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x736412c100d73cf5dd505abcdd04c6631b7e4b7f57e02ee715251306b3cd11bf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,724
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,724 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 57c | 3,302$1,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,428.22 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 69c | 2,083$1,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,437 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked No | 29c | 1,699$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 54c | 1,089$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.38 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fdd…d385backed No | 69c | 891$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.79 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked No | 38c | 757$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.41 | 173 | 27.2%47 W · 126 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 31c | 505.05$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.48 | 112 | 32.1%36 W · 76 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 35c | 500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 265 | 48.3%128 W · 137 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 31c | 495.54$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.92 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcca9…af95backed No | 3c | 448.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Yes | 31c | 400$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 399 | 48.4%193 W · 206 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 32c | 321.88$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.88 | 495 | 44.2%219 W · 276 L | -20.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 70c | 307$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.9 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 30c | 306$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.33 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed No | 70c | 257.14$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 170 | 53.5%91 W · 79 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked No | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 96 | 54.2%52 W · 44 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed No | 34c | 207.88$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.17 | 194 | 41.8%81 W · 113 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 38c | 204.47$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.35 | 413 | 44.8%185 W · 228 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed No | 38c | 191.23$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.44 | 271 | 41.7%113 W · 158 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 49c | 178.65$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.17 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7409…65a6backed Yes | 65c | 153.91$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.91 | 105 | 79%83 W · 22 L | +22.7wins | +0.22per pick | 57cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 70c | 150$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 270 | 51.5%139 W · 131 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 11c | 136.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.43 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 26cpaid | +69.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 75c | 124.25$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.68 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 30c | 120.74$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.52 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.38 | 252 | 25%63 W · 189 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8549…41f8backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 272 | 27.9%76 W · 196 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 351 | 34.8%122 W · 229 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 30c | 93.52$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.31 | 571 | 50.4%288 W · 283 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked No | 55c | 93.33$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.33 | 149 | 75.8%113 W · 36 L | +26.0wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 30c | 78.11$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.71 | 773 | 36.4%281 W · 492 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4b…f7d2backed No | 31c | 74.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 18cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41ad…8dddbacked No | 31c | 72$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 31c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 809 | 53.6%434 W · 375 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 31c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 596 | 45.5%271 W · 325 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 68c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 594 | 45.5%270 W · 324 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed No | 36c | 44.44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 122 | 41.8%51 W · 71 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 56c | 43.61$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.56 | 419 | 56.3%236 W · 183 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…251fbacked Yes | 69c | 41.08$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.73 | 93 | 73.1%68 W · 25 L | +17.6wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed No | 70c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 207 | 63.8%132 W · 75 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 36c | 29.41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 408 | 21.8%89 W · 319 L | -53.7wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb308…840bbacked No | 69c | 28.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yes | 39c | 26.2$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.91 | 317 | 47.6%151 W · 166 L | -14.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1440…8cf8backed No | 47c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 71c | 21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked No | 69c | 18.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 117 | 61.5%72 W · 45 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Blackburn Rovers FC vs. Portsmouth FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Blackburn Rovers FC win on 2026-03-07?No won
- Will Portsmouth FC win on 2026-03-07?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.