Europa Conference League · resolved market
PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad vs. OGC Nice: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x736c857e2674b83cdbddfb6c28d1b883a266918454129f0ba80bf59ba7848dd6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,008
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,321
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,008 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 55c | 2,253$1,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,016.73 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafb8…505cbacked Yes | 58c | 1,068$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 42c | 904.93$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.86 | 433 | 44.6%193 W · 240 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22ae…af00backed Yes | 54c | 404.28$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 57c | 381.24$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.31 | 428 | 44.9%192 W · 236 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb06c…6961backed Yes | 54c | 300$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.3 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2c…90d4backed Yes | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -7.4wins | -0.25per pick | 48cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 44c | 206.9$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.75 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaffc…fab4backed Yes | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed No | 42c | 168.76$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.88 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 42c | 136.33$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.07 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yes | 35c | 134.08$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.89 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed No | 46c | 134$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.36 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed No | 43c | 132$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.24 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked No | 47c | 128.21$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.21 | 80 | 62.5%50 W · 30 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…ac5ebacked No | 43c | 121$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.97 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +3.8wins | +0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +63%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Yes | 42c | 106.9$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.9 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00e0…8a94backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 62c | 82.82$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.46 | 384 | 53.1%204 W · 180 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40d4…5046backed Yes | 58c | 70.88$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6f…8c89backed Yes | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed No | 42c | 61$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.38 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x176e…8f96backed No | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e4…24abbacked Yes | 57c | 39.11$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca65…6746backed Yes | 54c | 37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…3e0cbacked Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2285…4bf1backed Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26fc…2286backed Yes | 57c | 34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8380…1866backed Yes | 54c | 32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 69cpaid | -57%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa60c…b395backed Yes | 57c | 32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f33…8f17backed Yes | 58c | 31$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38a6…bbd5backed Yes | 57c | 31$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.67 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc86f…341dbacked Yes | 58c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x279b…7d84backed Yes | 57c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 64cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb7…8745backed Yes | 54c | 26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37ea…6cb9backed No | 44c | 24.18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.54 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf6…c75bbacked Yes | 50c | 23.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d3b…bd9fbacked Yes | 57c | 23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9acf…bd74backed Yes | 57c | 23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 59cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfaac…1045backed Yes | 57c | 21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 68cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1313…866abacked Yes | 57c | 18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad vs. OGC Nice: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad vs. OGC Nice: O/U 1.5Under won
- PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad vs. OGC Nice: O/U 2.5Under won
- PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad vs. OGC Nice: O/U 3.5Under won
- PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad vs. OGC Nice: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.