Tennis · resolved market
Braunschweig: Norbert Gombos vs Sebastian Ofner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x739b32c4593bb4831287b777353852c34a4ae47c18ed3e56cb7fdbcc57d46163
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sebastian Ofnerof Norbert Gombos, Sebastian Ofner
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,461
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,552
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,461 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Norbert Gombos | 4c | 9,585$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.02 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Sebastian Ofner | 80c | 1,524$1,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.74 | 4,602 | 67.8%3,119 W · 1,483 L | +309.9wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Norbert Gombos | 15c | 1,474$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.5 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x220e…61fbbacked Norbert Gombos | 2c | 910$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Norbert Gombos | 4c | 752.22$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.08 | 1,678 | 50.8%852 W · 826 L | +30.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b91…8e2abacked Norbert Gombos | 10c | 590$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Norbert Gombos | 10c | 483$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.3 | 1,824 | 46.5%849 W · 975 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Norbert Gombos | 19c | 434$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.64 | 301 | 32.9%99 W · 202 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Sebastian Ofner | 80c | 381.3$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.37 | 969 | 45.9%445 W · 524 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Norbert Gombos | 20c | 379.46$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.89 | 533 | 43%229 W · 304 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Norbert Gombos | 20c | 240$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 921 | 38.4%354 W · 567 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84c3…35d4backed Norbert Gombos | 19c | 201.6$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.3 | 79 | 34.2%27 W · 52 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Norbert Gombos | 22c | 173.91$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.26 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Norbert Gombos | 21c | 166.67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3,262 | 40.3%1,314 W · 1,948 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Norbert Gombos | 21c | 166.67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3,457 | 38.9%1,345 W · 2,112 L | -15.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Norbert Gombos | 19c | 155.09$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.53 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Norbert Gombos | 21c | 142.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaffe…7140backed Norbert Gombos | 20c | 142$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 432 | 42.4%183 W · 249 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Norbert Gombos | 18c | 131.68$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.02 | 1,542 | 49.2%759 W · 783 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28be…6dbebacked Norbert Gombos | 24c | 125.21$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 235 | 36.6%86 W · 149 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x285f…0f08backed Norbert Gombos | 21c | 108.89$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 185 | 37.3%69 W · 116 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…27a0backed Norbert Gombos | 20c | 108.8$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.76 | 516 | 44.8%231 W · 285 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Norbert Gombos | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 5,325 | 28.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L | -21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbe…f8d9backed Norbert Gombos | 21c | 90$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 102 | 33.3%34 W · 68 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Norbert Gombos | 19c | 89.44$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 3,987 | 45.5%1,816 W · 2,171 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Norbert Gombos | 19c | 88.47$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.81 | 4,341 | 52.3%2,271 W · 2,070 L | +63.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b1c…a566backed Norbert Gombos | 14c | 83.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Norbert Gombos | 21c | 80.95$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 2,179 | 37%807 W · 1,372 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Norbert Gombos | 19c | 65.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…157cbacked Sebastian Ofner | 78c | 28.78$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.33 | 215 | 54%116 W · 99 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed Sebastian Ofner | 79c | 26.88$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.65 | 472 | 51.3%242 W · 230 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0b…1435backed Sebastian Ofner | 78c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 390 | 35.9%140 W · 250 L | -61.1wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xccb7…0477backed Sebastian Ofner | 80c | 20.6$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.12 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Braunschweig: Norbert Gombos vs Sebastian Ofnerthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Gombos vs OfnerOfner won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.