Tennis · resolved market
ITF Madrid: Carmen Gallardo Guevara vs Briyana Ivanova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x743a6877d78f107ebc941829933a027d6fd1e6766077d1848293e614677d62aa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Briyana Ivanovaof Carmen Gallardo Guevara, Briyana Ivanova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,888
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,925
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,888 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Carmen Gallardo Guevara | 52c | 4,555$2,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,348.28 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Briyana Ivanova | 54c | 1,652$895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.22 | 234 | 51.7%121 W · 113 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Briyana Ivanova | 45c | 1,505$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.21 | 6,512 | 54.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L | +289.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Briyana Ivanova | 54c | 980.22$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.74 | 4,474 | 51.7%2,311 W · 2,163 L | +133.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Briyana Ivanova | 19c | 521.64$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.64 | 5,325 | 28.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L | -21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Briyana Ivanova | 42c | 355.97$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.41 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Briyana Ivanova | 54c | 294.14$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.27 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddf5…aaa3backed Carmen Gallardo Guevara | 57c | 265.09$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 692 | 53.3%369 W · 323 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Briyana Ivanova | 42c | 250$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Briyana Ivanova | 42c | 218$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.82 | 5,498 | 48.5%2,667 W · 2,831 L | +10.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Briyana Ivanova | 29c | 170.62$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.69 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Briyana Ivanova | 49c | 161.74$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.02 | 6,574 | 46.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L | -45.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Carmen Gallardo Guevara | 16c | 116.22$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.89 | 221 | 13.6%30 W · 191 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Carmen Gallardo Guevara | 31c | 98.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.3 | 1,381 | 16.4%227 W · 1,154 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ea…42e8backed Carmen Gallardo Guevara | 80c | 98.08$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.46 | 904 | 59.5%538 W · 366 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Carmen Gallardo Guevara | 28c | 87.49$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.19 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Briyana Ivanova | 34c | 63.66$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.81 | 1,730 | 52.2%903 W · 827 L | -8.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed Carmen Gallardo Guevara | 52c | 56.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.66 | 796 | 46%366 W · 430 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Carmen Gallardo Guevara | 34c | 51.96$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 746 | 46.1%344 W · 402 L | -30.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Briyana Ivanova | 19c | 51.32$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.32 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Carmen Gallardo Guevara | 80c | 49$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 1,229 | 53.1%653 W · 576 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x103f…86dbbacked Briyana Ivanova | 63c | 40.96$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.21 | 163 | 62%101 W · 62 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Carmen Gallardo Guevara | 39c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.71 | 156 | 5.8%9 W · 147 L | -32.4wins | -0.21per pick | 27cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 30-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xeff4…2aa4backed Briyana Ivanova | 44c | 33.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.83 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f3…d6dcbacked Briyana Ivanova | 45c | 30.8$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.94 | 870 | 60.2%524 W · 346 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x767e…98cabacked Carmen Gallardo Guevara | 79c | 30.38$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 410 | 61.5%252 W · 158 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5134…abeebacked Carmen Gallardo Guevara | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Briyana Ivanova | 45c | 24.74$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.61 | 830 | 47%390 W · 440 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.