MLB · resolved market
Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Yankees
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x744107ec344355377c97b8bbc106d01315a49af398670bad01499eb3552d157d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New York Yankeesof Philadelphia Phillies, New York Yankees
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,970
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,970 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Philadelphia Phillies | 0c | 6,110$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 392 | 9.4%37 W · 355 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked New York Yankees | 56c | 3,483$1,936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,546.89 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Philadelphia Phillies | 44c | 1,522$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.53 | 408 | 46.1%188 W · 220 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed New York Yankees | 56c | 822$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.13 | 205 | 48.3%99 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x009b…e769backed Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 664.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 122 | 62.3%76 W · 46 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Philadelphia Phillies | 42c | 659.86$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.63 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 46c | 600$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 3,314 | 46.3%1,533 W · 1,781 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 44c | 567.94$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.89 | 97 | 25.8%25 W · 72 L | -11.2wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 44c | 532.4$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.26 | 485 | 46.8%227 W · 258 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Philadelphia Phillies | 8c | 357$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.36 | 858 | 35.7%306 W · 552 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 5c | 288.07$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked New York Yankees | 56c | 192.93$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.36 | 1,543 | 48.6%750 W · 793 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 166$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.81 | 688 | 46.8%322 W · 366 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Philadelphia Phillies | 44c | 112$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.28 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 509 | 49.5%252 W · 257 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed New York Yankees | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 127 | 51.2%65 W · 62 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Philadelphia Phillies | 21c | 84$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 33 | 6.1%2 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | +66.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed New York Yankees | 55c | 67.13$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.35 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Philadelphia Phillies | 40c | 65.98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.38 | 841 | 22.7%191 W · 650 L | -81.4wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd6af…532dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 41c | 62.48$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.62 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…79afbacked New York Yankees | 56c | 59.21$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.21 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee6…0668backed New York Yankees | 78c | 51.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked New York Yankees | 61c | 40.51$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.8 | 490 | 46.1%226 W · 264 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Philadelphia Phillies | 43c | 36.53$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.78 | 950 | 41.5%394 W · 556 L | -48.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked New York Yankees | 56c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 341 | 64.2%219 W · 122 L | +22.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…ceafbacked New York Yankees | 57c | 34.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.9 | 233 | 53.2%124 W · 109 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Philadelphia Phillies | 44c | 32.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2e…d2abbacked New York Yankees | 56c | 28.57$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.57 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…4692backed Philadelphia Phillies | 44c | 25.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 403 | 51.4%207 W · 196 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed New York Yankees | 71c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 6,128 | 55.4%3,394 W · 2,734 L | +347.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked New York Yankees | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.26 | 103 | 53.4%55 W · 48 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.