Tennis · resolved market
Centurion 2: Orel Kimhi vs Philip Henning
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x745da75c6407196fe48915fe7b8bd33218eae97aacca5aa3ad7639bf36fc9266
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Philip Henningof Orel Kimhi, Philip Henning
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,500
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,018
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,500 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe85d…ad4bbacked Orel Kimhi | 13c | 4,023$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523 | 196 | 26%51 W · 145 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74bd…d371backed Orel Kimhi | 11c | 888.88$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.2 | 421 | 25.7%108 W · 313 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Orel Kimhi | 14c | 772.45$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.95 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Orel Kimhi | 27c | 600$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 1,228 | 41.1%505 W · 723 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Philip Henning | 78c | 557.2$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…a5d6backed Orel Kimhi | 24c | 416.48$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 504 | 58.9%297 W · 207 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Philip Henning | 79c | 250$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Orel Kimhi | 21c | 243.11$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Philip Henning | 79c | 212.48$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.62 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Orel Kimhi | 21c | 203.37$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.81 | 578 | 42.4%245 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd5…feb0backed Philip Henning | 79c | 168.35$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.35 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e56…d55ebacked Orel Kimhi | 13c | 166.61$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.02 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Orel Kimhi | 10c | 157$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.91 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Orel Kimhi | 21c | 140.48$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 503 | 40%201 W · 302 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Philip Henning | 79c | 132.48$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.88 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…206cbacked Orel Kimhi | 23c | 132.42$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.63 | 856 | 37.7%323 W · 533 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde4c…f57cbacked Orel Kimhi | 24c | 126.28$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.01 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +5.3wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Philip Henning | 77c | 110$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.3 | 1,125 | 51.1%575 W · 550 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Orel Kimhi | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Orel Kimhi | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 940 | 58.4%549 W · 391 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Orel Kimhi | 20c | 74.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 969 | 45.9%445 W · 524 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Philip Henning | 80c | 56.09$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Philip Henning | 77c | 56$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.76 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…dc29backed Orel Kimhi | 20c | 51$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 513 | 39.4%202 W · 311 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Philip Henning | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 1,103 | 52.9%583 W · 520 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Philip Henning | 79c | 36$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 1,227 | 53.2%653 W · 574 L | -5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc15c…a6b0backed Philip Henning | 78c | 30.13$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.63 | 287 | 58.5%168 W · 119 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Philip Henning | 79c | 24.76$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Philip Henning | 75c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.42 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Philip Henning | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.63 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdff6…0918backed Philip Henning | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 498 | 57%284 W · 214 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Philip Henning | 78c | 13.55$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.98 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.