Tennis · resolved market
Bordeaux: Sho Shimabukuro vs Quentin Halys
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x74b13c10ccc89c97275061c44bdd1950a1a961cda1b127996b9d296ccbadd095
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Quentin Halysof Sho Shimabukuro, Quentin Halys
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,387
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,795
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,387 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4699…5051backed Sho Shimabukuro | 3c | 3,910$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 973 | 7.9%77 W · 896 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Sho Shimabukuro | 23c | 2,805$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.48 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Sho Shimabukuro | 16c | 2,337$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.84 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0262…85bebacked Quentin Halys | 75c | 2,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.18per pick | 67cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7454…57f2backed Sho Shimabukuro | 30c | 1,347$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403 | 209 | 49.8%104 W · 105 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2e…caf6backed Sho Shimabukuro | 25c | 1,344$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Quentin Halys | 78c | 1,341$1,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.43 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Sho Shimabukuro | 28c | 1,266$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.37 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4371…4fd9backed Sho Shimabukuro | 7c | 1,135$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.42 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Sho Shimabukuro | 11c | 806.29$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.12 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Sho Shimabukuro | 28c | 500$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.92 | 2,229 | 45%1,002 W · 1,227 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Quentin Halys | 76c | 397.19$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.33 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8b…bff8backed Sho Shimabukuro | 25c | 370$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.5 | 372 | 38.2%142 W · 230 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec6…1c05backed Sho Shimabukuro | 29c | 314.52$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.9 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Sho Shimabukuro | 24c | 283.42$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.02 | 856 | 34.2%293 W · 563 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Quentin Halys | 63c | 228.14$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.18 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Sho Shimabukuro | 30c | 214.71$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.42 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Sho Shimabukuro | 29c | 211.49$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.33 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Sho Shimabukuro | 14c | 205.86$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.78 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed Quentin Halys | 71c | 196.45$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.45 | 849 | 68.4%581 W · 268 L | +25.9wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Quentin Halys | 71c | 163.74$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.87 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6068…3342backed Sho Shimabukuro | 24c | 158.82$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +75.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Sho Shimabukuro | 25c | 142.03$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.84 | 491 | 42.8%210 W · 281 L | -15.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb7…3644backed Quentin Halys | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 264 | 51.5%136 W · 128 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Quentin Halys | 72c | 137.52$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.51 | 1,065 | 57.4%611 W · 454 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60a3…3850backed Sho Shimabukuro | 18c | 112.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.31 | 856 | 24.4%209 W · 647 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed Quentin Halys | 67c | 111.99$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.88 | 430 | 67%288 W · 142 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Quentin Halys | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c3e5backed Sho Shimabukuro | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1,076 | 55.5%597 W · 479 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf753…bcfebacked Sho Shimabukuro | 24c | 97.08$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 537 | 36.9%198 W · 339 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Sho Shimabukuro | 25c | 75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Quentin Halys | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 1,056 | 55.4%585 W · 471 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e0…a311backed Sho Shimabukuro | 37c | 65.53$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.43 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e45…39dabacked Quentin Halys | 72c | 63.4$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.75 | 185 | 51.9%96 W · 89 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc253…5800backed Sho Shimabukuro | 49c | 61.8$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 141 | 61.7%87 W · 54 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87d1…3744backed Sho Shimabukuro | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,104 | 66.9%739 W · 365 L | +36.9wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked Quentin Halys | 72c | 59.93$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.68 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Sho Shimabukuro | 18c | 57.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 1,354 | 43.9%595 W · 759 L | -62.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…dc29backed Sho Shimabukuro | 22c | 51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 513 | 39.4%202 W · 311 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b3…4756backed Quentin Halys | 72c | 49.88$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.97 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27cf…979abacked Quentin Halys | 72c | 49.88$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.97 | 181 | 48.1%87 W · 94 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x389d…995fbacked Quentin Halys | 72c | 49.88$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.97 | 144 | 52.8%76 W · 68 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x62ae…c975backed Quentin Halys | 54c | 44.98$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.69 | 215 | 37.2%80 W · 135 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a37…4daebacked Quentin Halys | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 134 | 51.5%69 W · 65 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8776…f2efbacked Quentin Halys | 51c | 41.18$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.18 | 178 | 59%105 W · 73 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Quentin Halys | 63c | 40.9$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.13 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Quentin Halys | 76c | 38.5$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Sho Shimabukuro | 49c | 35.96$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.62 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1c…390dbacked Quentin Halys | 55c | 35.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.16 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Quentin Halys | 75c | 30.84$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.71 | 1,174 | 51.9%609 W · 565 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Quentin Halys | 75c | 30.84$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.71 | 1,226 | 52%637 W · 589 L | +44.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Quentin Halys | 76c | 28.53$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.85 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Sho Shimabukuro | 45c | 27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Quentin Halys | 71c | 25.47$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 1,245 | 51.9%646 W · 599 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Sho Shimabukuro | 46c | 23.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 749 | 55.1%413 W · 336 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0154…30f7backed Quentin Halys | 76c | 19.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 524 | 57.4%301 W · 223 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x059d…10e3backed Quentin Halys | 75c | 13.34$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.33 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf095…58c6backed Quentin Halys | 79c | 12.7$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.67 | 168 | 56%94 W · 74 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.