Tennis · resolved market
ITF Wuning: Mei Yamaguchi vs Junhan Zhang
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7528664e06af7c7872199d7b9513dfc9637a4e84a35d21cebe1b0396afb0abff
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mei Yamaguchiof Mei Yamaguchi, Junhan Zhang
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,954
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,766
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,954 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Mei Yamaguchi | 62c | 4,298$2,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,632.36 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Junhan Zhang | 33c | 3,080$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.27 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Junhan Zhang | 14c | 2,160$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.42 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d9c…cf78backed Junhan Zhang | 42c | 889.03$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 111 | 31.5%35 W · 76 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Junhan Zhang | 24c | 833.84$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.51 | 197 | 40.6%80 W · 117 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf3…e802backed Junhan Zhang | 19c | 809.98$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.2 | 477 | 28.1%134 W · 343 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec28…8d7abacked Junhan Zhang | 14c | 709.93$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.39 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x48de…95babacked Mei Yamaguchi | 66c | 584$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.06 | 625 | 45.4%284 W · 341 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Junhan Zhang | 14c | 476.64$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.73 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Mei Yamaguchi | 79c | 407.37$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.55 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Junhan Zhang | 13c | 365.38$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.89 | 309 | 31.1%96 W · 213 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b24…11efbacked Junhan Zhang | 43c | 364.97$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.54 | 640 | 65.9%422 W · 218 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc6…9092backed Junhan Zhang | 31c | 325.81$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 366 | 21.6%79 W · 287 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Mei Yamaguchi | 69c | 317.23$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.34 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe00d…4251backed Mei Yamaguchi | 76c | 265.61$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.61 | 197 | 61.4%121 W · 76 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1aa…9359backed Mei Yamaguchi | 65c | 183.63$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.53 | 205 | 35.1%72 W · 133 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe857…7b3bbacked Junhan Zhang | 13c | 181.51$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.56 | 838 | 23.2%194 W · 644 L | -58.0wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Junhan Zhang | 24c | 178.95$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.95 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8328…e5ebbacked Junhan Zhang | 40c | 167.68$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.86 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e59…7fdfbacked Junhan Zhang | 51c | 147.06$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -7.2wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Junhan Zhang | 31c | 115$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.53 | 2,118 | 55.9%1,185 W · 933 L | +40.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Junhan Zhang | 24c | 113.61$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.16 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Junhan Zhang | 18c | 104.34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Junhan Zhang | 17c | 102$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.48 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Mei Yamaguchi | 70c | 83.47$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.14 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Mei Yamaguchi | 72c | 81.62$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.95 | 917 | 55.5%509 W · 408 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcf…7ddfbacked Mei Yamaguchi | 57c | 68.25$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 111 | 58.6%65 W · 46 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Mei Yamaguchi | 72c | 60.88$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e2…0fcbbacked Mei Yamaguchi | 70c | 57.27$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Mei Yamaguchi | 73c | 53.08$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.31 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcae7…f4cdbacked Junhan Zhang | 33c | 48.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef59…41f6backed Junhan Zhang | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Mei Yamaguchi | 69c | 36.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 178 | 57.3%102 W · 76 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d43…d0ddbacked Junhan Zhang | 37c | 30.41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…0dedbacked Mei Yamaguchi | 79c | 20.91$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.39 | 585 | 39.5%231 W · 354 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.