Tennis · resolved market
Rome: Henry Bernet vs Luka Pavlovic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x752cdf7d726bcd60af3c929921c3764aff2550d73dd698dd37e1dee2cc092cc3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Henry Bernetof Henry Bernet, Luka Pavlovic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,643
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,011
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,643 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Luka Pavlovic | 6c | 9,879$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.05 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Henry Bernet | 41c | 2,474$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,471.33 | 977 | 45.2%442 W · 535 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Luka Pavlovic | 6c | 1,844$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.54 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Luka Pavlovic | 10c | 1,727$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.7 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Luka Pavlovic | 9c | 1,427$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.47 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d3…c2f0backed Luka Pavlovic | 64c | 1,064$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.04 | 335 | 56.7%190 W · 145 L | -27.7wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Henry Bernet | 44c | 1,043$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.33 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb777…3ff9backed Henry Bernet | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 152 | 48%73 W · 79 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceed…f8eebacked Henry Bernet | 37c | 969.88$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.02 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdee3…6fe5backed Luka Pavlovic | 62c | 969.54$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.02 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41d2…5d69backed Luka Pavlovic | 62c | 819.09$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.69 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Henry Bernet | 37c | 810.81$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.81 | 971 | 41.4%402 W · 569 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Luka Pavlovic | 63c | 699.25$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.53 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Luka Pavlovic | 55c | 530.72$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.9 | 1,923 | 55.4%1,066 W · 857 L | -44.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Henry Bernet | 37c | 520.62$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.19 | 1,865 | 45.6%851 W · 1,014 L | +50.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccbd…f1b7backed Henry Bernet | 38c | 454.84$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284 | 110 | 40.9%45 W · 65 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Henry Bernet | 36c | 390$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.88 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Luka Pavlovic | 62c | 346.75$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.98 | 1,566 | 40%627 W · 939 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…f73fbacked Luka Pavlovic | 61c | 320.2$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.32 | 294 | 44.2%130 W · 164 L | -18.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Henry Bernet | 35c | 300$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 261 | 31.4%82 W · 179 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Luka Pavlovic | 63c | 269.89$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.03 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781b…c5cdbacked Luka Pavlovic | 10c | 255.42$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Henry Bernet | 36c | 200.58$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.37 | 1,729 | 48.9%845 W · 884 L | +53.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Henry Bernet | 46c | 175.92$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.76 | 1,245 | 51.9%646 W · 599 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf40e…9addbacked Luka Pavlovic | 56c | 173.86$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.36 | 386 | 64%247 W · 139 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Luka Pavlovic | 56c | 168.09$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.13 | 485 | 52.8%256 W · 229 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a37…4cf5backed Luka Pavlovic | 56c | 156.47$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Henry Bernet | 35c | 151$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.54 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c4…e6a5backed Luka Pavlovic | 66c | 148.88$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.95 | 259 | 57.1%148 W · 111 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6495…c3f7backed Luka Pavlovic | 11c | 139.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 30 | 76.7%23 W · 7 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x058e…a2acbacked Luka Pavlovic | 54c | 138.54$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.81 | 328 | 51.8%170 W · 158 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Luka Pavlovic | 56c | 134.13$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.11 | 423 | 44.2%187 W · 236 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fac…0cc1backed Luka Pavlovic | 10c | 113.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Henry Bernet | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.5 | 491 | 42.8%210 W · 281 L | -15.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Henry Bernet | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 1,240 | 41.2%511 W · 729 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9416…98cfbacked Henry Bernet | 44c | 99.99$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 145 | 36.6%53 W · 92 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Henry Bernet | 34c | 99.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.99 | 174 | 36.8%64 W · 110 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Henry Bernet | 36c | 99.36$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.94 | 1,354 | 43.9%595 W · 759 L | -62.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd7…6d6cbacked Luka Pavlovic | 64c | 97.84$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.62 | 130 | 51.5%67 W · 63 L | -7.6wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ed…72efbacked Luka Pavlovic | 55c | 88.82$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.85 | 387 | 54.3%210 W · 177 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f65…c1d0backed Luka Pavlovic | 56c | 88.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.03 | 303 | 49.8%151 W · 152 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Henry Bernet | 39c | 85.7$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.28 | 1,065 | 57.4%611 W · 454 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac6…e020backed Luka Pavlovic | 62c | 78.18$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.47 | 347 | 61.1%212 W · 135 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Henry Bernet | 39c | 75.15$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.82 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b38…a036backed Henry Bernet | 38c | 73.92$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.46 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Luka Pavlovic | 63c | 67.55$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.55 | 1,276 | 61%778 W · 498 L | +27.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6281…e326backed Luka Pavlovic | 63c | 64.53$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.66 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x093b…4e14backed Henry Bernet | 41c | 59.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.6 | 178 | 48.9%87 W · 91 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e76…47fabacked Luka Pavlovic | 61c | 58.12$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.45 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…ba55backed Henry Bernet | 39c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 257 | 45.9%118 W · 139 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae8e…08f9backed Henry Bernet | 39c | 48.17$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.38 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Luka Pavlovic | 62c | 48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.76 | 770 | 47.9%369 W · 401 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Luka Pavlovic | 62c | 47.28$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.32 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdca9…0898backed Luka Pavlovic | 62c | 46.74$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.98 | 249 | 65.1%162 W · 87 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ded…68a3backed Luka Pavlovic | 56c | 43.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.34 | 885 | 60.2%533 W · 352 L | -13.6wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Henry Bernet | 39c | 43.3$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.42 | 857 | 48.2%413 W · 444 L | +33.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17f7…a181backed Luka Pavlovic | 61c | 40.02$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.42 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70f9…f25bbacked Luka Pavlovic | 62c | 35.85$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.23 | 990 | 56%554 W · 436 L | +32.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed Luka Pavlovic | 60c | 35.14$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.08 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Henry Bernet | 35c | 33.73$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.76 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Henry Bernet | 39c | 31.79$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Henry Bernet | 44c | 29.87$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.69 | 221 | 53.4%118 W · 103 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6442…d68bbacked Luka Pavlovic | 55c | 19.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 151 | 46.4%70 W · 81 L | -14.1wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.