Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will FK LNZ Cherkasy vs. KAA Gent end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7567acfc63ca7db6e593e0ce8b433a5ab9668436ec86f1ab7baab39c1cf7f1b1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,718
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,913
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,718 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 33c | 7,212$2,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,372.98 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 56c | 6,913$3,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,060.44 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 60c | 5,708$3,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,256.48 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 55c | 2,613$1,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,447.44 | 558 | 45%251 W · 307 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked No | 40c | 2,500$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.33 | 314 | 30.3%95 W · 219 L | -15.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed No | 41c | 1,089$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.82 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked No | 71c | 518.76$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.32 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 72c | 450.62$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.05 | 169 | 40.2%68 W · 101 L | -11.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 57c | 278.7$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.27 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49b6…a8abbacked No | 71c | 141$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.11 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Yes | 56c | 131.2$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.44 | 293 | 37.9%111 W · 182 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 33c | 126$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.1 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Yes | 72c | 126$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.25 | 351 | 46.2%162 W · 189 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 118 | 33.9%40 W · 78 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd03…df4abacked No | 23c | 99.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3b…07c9backed No | 69c | 98$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.56 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | -8.0wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda22…f431backed No | 37c | 97.93$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.46 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 12c | 93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Yes | 80c | 62.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.43 | 299 | 59.5%178 W · 121 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 45c | 57$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.23 | 535 | 64.7%346 W · 189 L | +29.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8509…fd97backed Yes | 55c | 52.63$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.52 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Yes | 58c | 41.46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.49 | 296 | 54.1%160 W · 136 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 70c | 35.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.73 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27b4…f911backed Yes | 30c | 33.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 26cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 72c | 29.03$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.01 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Yes | 56c | 24.93$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.05 | 294 | 70.1%206 W · 88 L | +21.6wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 49c | 22.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 451 | 35.9%162 W · 289 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FK LNZ Cherkasy vs. KAA Gent end in a draw?this page
- Will FK LNZ Cherkasy win on 2026-07-23?No won
- Will KAA Gent win on 2026-07-23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.