Euroleague · resolved market
Ningbo Rockets vs. Beijing Royal Fighters
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x75cf976e11346eb80174fcf607882d9b7b417686df52b7d9c08f5a71ffb362dc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ningbo Rocketsof Ningbo Rockets, Beijing Royal Fighters
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,072
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,361
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,072 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Ningbo Rockets | 56c | 5,409$3,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,403.84 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Beijing Royal Fighters | 43c | 2,567$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…583abacked Beijing Royal Fighters | 38c | 1,019$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Beijing Royal Fighters | 56c | 565.89$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.75 | 316 | 51.6%163 W · 153 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Beijing Royal Fighters | 10c | 450.58$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.61 | 159 | 8.2%13 W · 146 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Beijing Royal Fighters | 38c | 400.27$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.17 | 343 | 44.3%152 W · 191 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Beijing Royal Fighters | 41c | 330$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.77 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Ningbo Rockets | 65c | 323.46$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.89 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Beijing Royal Fighters | 55c | 226.99$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.84 | 181 | 44.2%80 W · 101 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Beijing Royal Fighters | 37c | 199.98$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.99 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Beijing Royal Fighters | 39c | 153.85$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Beijing Royal Fighters | 40c | 138$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.66 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Ningbo Rockets | 63c | 104.85$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.6 | 314 | 46.2%145 W · 169 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Beijing Royal Fighters | 42c | 75.2$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.6 | 265 | 44.5%118 W · 147 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Beijing Royal Fighters | 38c | 74.14$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.42 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc22c…9c02backed Ningbo Rockets | 60c | 65.45$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.18 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7814…8713backed Beijing Royal Fighters | 39c | 53.33$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Beijing Royal Fighters | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 273 | 38.1%104 W · 169 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…45a0backed Ningbo Rockets | 59c | 48.09$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.72 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Beijing Royal Fighters | 36c | 47.91$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.14 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb42…f3bbbacked Ningbo Rockets | 66c | 45.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1caa…7f37backed Beijing Royal Fighters | 39c | 44.18$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Ningbo Rockets | 62c | 34.34$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4794…d6e5backed Ningbo Rockets | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Beijing Royal Fighters | 35c | 31.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0097…f101backed Beijing Royal Fighters | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa68d…e03bbacked Ningbo Rockets | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Ningbo Rockets | 50c | 24.85$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.41 | 70 | 31.4%22 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Ningbo Rockets | 62c | 24.22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.22 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b96…f098backed Beijing Royal Fighters | 51c | 19.96$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb58c…5fc5backed Ningbo Rockets | 79c | 14.05$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.95 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.