Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Missouri Tigers vs. Alabama Crimson Tide
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x760a3e31ff0451eea7a362928735f93d8419f0df1b927070e00da480cc371352
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alabama Crimson Tideof Missouri Tigers, Alabama Crimson Tide
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,700
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,303
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,700 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x294a…bbbabacked Missouri Tigers | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 2cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Missouri Tigers | 4c | 3,065$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.6 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed Missouri Tigers | 17c | 1,447$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 143 | 25.9%37 W · 106 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Missouri Tigers | 22c | 784.96$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.72 | 244 | 44.7%109 W · 135 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 78c | 627.17$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.3 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x958a…c897backed Missouri Tigers | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 233 | 31.3%73 W · 160 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Missouri Tigers | 14c | 500.02$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Missouri Tigers | 16c | 462.96$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.52 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Missouri Tigers | 19c | 300$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 315 | 37.8%119 W · 196 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Missouri Tigers | 14c | 299.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 181 | 29.3%53 W · 128 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Missouri Tigers | 18c | 250$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Missouri Tigers | 13c | 168.42$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.54 | 383 | 43.6%167 W · 216 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Missouri Tigers | 8c | 149.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Missouri Tigers | 17c | 134$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.35 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98cd…9417backed Missouri Tigers | 16c | 120$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked Missouri Tigers | 17c | 114$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed Missouri Tigers | 17c | 101$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.17 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Missouri Tigers | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 192 | 38.5%74 W · 118 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Missouri Tigers | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Missouri Tigers | 17c | 99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed Missouri Tigers | 17c | 74$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb87…88d1backed Missouri Tigers | 17c | 59$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3174…b136backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 80c | 55$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd451…8f37backed Missouri Tigers | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 397 | 42.8%170 W · 227 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 80c | 29.4$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.95 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 72c | 17.64$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Missouri Tigers vs. Alabama Crimson Tidethis page
- Spread: Alabama Crimson Tide (-10.5)Alabama Crimson Tide won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.