Tennis · resolved market
US Open, Qualification WTA: Lucia Bronzetti vs Luisina Giovannini
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x760d2aacb850ead4567f44a79706bb7e08dcf04766891986c29127452bd50f37
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lucia Bronzettiof Lucia Bronzetti, Luisina Giovannini
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $164,500
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $170,525
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $164,500 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Luisina Giovannini | 7c | 63,968$4,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,629.83 | 8,726 | 36.2%3,161 W · 5,565 L | -187.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Luisina Giovannini | 9c | 20,311$1,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,911.91 | 3,541 | 42.4%1,501 W · 2,040 L | -44.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Luisina Giovannini | 20c | 12,134$2,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,369.81 | 11,325 | 43.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L | +18.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Luisina Giovannini | 6c | 10,271$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.86 | 8,152 | 45.3%3,695 W · 4,457 L | +155.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49e0…9af1backed Lucia Bronzetti | 79c | 6,835$5,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,435.44 | 110 | 64.5%71 W · 39 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Luisina Giovannini | 21c | 4,760$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.62 | 361 | 49.6%179 W · 182 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Luisina Giovannini | 19c | 4,731$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893.38 | 303 | 35.3%107 W · 196 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Lucia Bronzetti | 80c | 3,894$3,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.79 | 654 | 59%386 W · 268 L | -31.7wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Luisina Giovannini | 6c | 3,350$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 4,126 | 44.6%1,842 W · 2,284 L | +13.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Luisina Giovannini | 17c | 3,271$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.87 | 2,394 | 38.4%920 W · 1,474 L | +87.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Luisina Giovannini | 7c | 2,807$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.06 | 3,621 | 45.3%1,641 W · 1,980 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Luisina Giovannini | 8c | 2,400$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 341 | 45.2%154 W · 187 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdb…c4eebacked Lucia Bronzetti | 79c | 1,713$1,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.8 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Luisina Giovannini | 6c | 1,400$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Luisina Giovannini | 19c | 1,292$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.48 | 4,466 | 67.7%3,023 W · 1,443 L | +299.9wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Luisina Giovannini | 18c | 1,181$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.99 | 2,137 | 36.8%787 W · 1,350 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x877f…8f3bbacked Lucia Bronzetti | 79c | 1,130$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.3 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Luisina Giovannini | 20c | 1,086$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.55 | 3,187 | 48.4%1,542 W · 1,645 L | -46.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Luisina Giovannini | 16c | 1,020$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.2 | 1,844 | 45.7%843 W · 1,001 L | +51.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…cba4backed Luisina Giovannini | 5c | 954.8$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.74 | 251 | 47.8%120 W · 131 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Luisina Giovannini | 6c | 874.84$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.49 | 4,875 | 41.5%2,023 W · 2,852 L | -77.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Luisina Giovannini | 19c | 870$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.3 | 805 | 58.6%472 W · 333 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Luisina Giovannini | 6c | 832.22$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.93 | 2,025 | 46.9%950 W · 1,075 L | +21.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Luisina Giovannini | 15c | 763.04$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.41 | 1,371 | 44.5%610 W · 761 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Lucia Bronzetti | 79c | 759.28$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.45 | 4,159 | 52.8%2,198 W · 1,961 L | +66.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Luisina Giovannini | 8c | 742.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.34 | 5,288 | 56.5%2,989 W · 2,299 L | +231.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Luisina Giovannini | 21c | 600$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 6,998 | 39.7%2,779 W · 4,219 L | -16.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Luisina Giovannini | 23c | 508.35$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.92 | 250 | 42.4%106 W · 144 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Luisina Giovannini | 8c | 453.15$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 2,696 | 47.9%1,292 W · 1,404 L | +46.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1058…01c1backed Lucia Bronzetti | 79c | 314$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.94 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Luisina Giovannini | 21c | 300$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 2,212 | 42.9%948 W · 1,264 L | +34.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Luisina Giovannini | 15c | 271.29$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.41 | 8,396 | 42.6%3,578 W · 4,818 L | -162.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Lucia Bronzetti | 79c | 212.26$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.32 | 154 | 48.7%75 W · 79 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Luisina Giovannini | 21c | 202$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.42 | 350 | 32.3%113 W · 237 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64ec…931dbacked Luisina Giovannini | 21c | 190.48$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 424 | 36.6%155 W · 269 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Luisina Giovannini | 21c | 158.51$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.65 | 5,199 | 28.8%1,496 W · 3,703 L | -18.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f4…335fbacked Lucia Bronzetti | 79c | 151.9$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.9 | 241 | 74.3%179 W · 62 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x481d…9098backed Luisina Giovannini | 18c | 136.54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.58 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Lucia Bronzetti | 78c | 112.68$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.79 | 1,002 | 50.2%503 W · 499 L | +45.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Luisina Giovannini | 21c | 112.26$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.57 | 501 | 47.7%239 W · 262 L | -15.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Luisina Giovannini | 20c | 102.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 1,657 | 44.2%733 W · 924 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Luisina Giovannini | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1,895 | 48.1%911 W · 984 L | +15.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Luisina Giovannini | 19c | 96$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 380 | 47.1%179 W · 201 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed Luisina Giovannini | 22c | 80$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Luisina Giovannini | 22c | 79.41$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.78 | 195 | 40.5%79 W · 116 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d1…73edbacked Lucia Bronzetti | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 86 | 66.3%57 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c8…016abacked Lucia Bronzetti | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 326 | 59.2%193 W · 133 L | -12.1wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Lucia Bronzetti | 78c | 47.49$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.45 | 7,745 | 50.6%3,916 W · 3,829 L | +93.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Lucia Bronzetti | 78c | 42.36$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.32 | 170 | 67.6%115 W · 55 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x071f…92bdbacked Lucia Bronzetti | 79c | 32.51$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.83 | 1,071 | 73.9%791 W · 280 L | +41.5wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Lucia Bronzetti | 78c | 32.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 1,016 | 57.7%586 W · 430 L | -14.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2947…e04fbacked Lucia Bronzetti | 77c | 30.55$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd819…2d80backed Lucia Bronzetti | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 146 | 53.4%78 W · 68 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0645…c08ebacked Lucia Bronzetti | 77c | 15.09$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.47 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775e…e94abacked Lucia Bronzetti | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.