Mls · resolved market
Will D.C. United SC vs. Nashville SC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x76555a4d8200e550857f6824acbc5373f1ee937491f0c73bb45fbca5cf234428
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,977
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,114
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,977 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa700…102bbacked No | 6c | 1,405$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.65 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 72c | 1,179$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852.3 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 28c | 969.52$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.23 | 394 | 35.8%141 W · 253 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 73c | 487$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.51 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.37 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 29c | 300.21$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.99 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…965abacked No | 13c | 190.01$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 86 | 24.4%21 W · 65 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 28c | 163.21$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.51 | 734 | 38.1%280 W · 454 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 57c | 141.68$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.45 | 95 | 40%38 W · 57 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 49c | 135.14$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.55 | 549 | 49%269 W · 280 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca10backed Yes | 22c | 112.85$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.02 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 25c | 111.82$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.69 | 205 | 35.1%72 W · 133 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.23 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd770…209dbacked No | 33c | 96.16$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.62 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed No | 15c | 94.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | +5.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 27c | 90.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 260 | 50.4%131 W · 129 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 78c | 83.41$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.74 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 32c | 78.2$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 443 | 50.6%224 W · 219 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 38c | 77$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.98 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…abe1backed Yes | 55c | 73.72$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.41 | 79 | 74.7%59 W · 20 L | +10.7wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe839…0a9dbacked Yes | 23c | 73$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.87 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 28c | 68.5$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.32 | 429 | 47.1%202 W · 227 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked No | 33c | 66.53$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.82 | 202 | 52%105 W · 97 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 27c | 60.98$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 33c | 59.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.91 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 45c | 57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.48 | 451 | 40.4%182 W · 269 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 78c | 49.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 273 | 44.3%121 W · 152 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 73c | 45.2$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.99 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93f9…9ccbbacked Yes | 23c | 43.48$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.48 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +10.2wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed No | 45c | 42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.74 | 73 | 27.4%20 W · 53 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed No | 73c | 31.62$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.08 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 54c | 30.63$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.53 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 43c | 27.35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed No | 73c | 26.7$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed No | 47c | 23.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 172 | 44.8%77 W · 95 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 78c | 23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.84 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked No | 53c | 22.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed No | 73c | 21.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 123 | 56.9%70 W · 53 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will D.C. United SC vs. Nashville SC end in a draw?this page
- Will D.C. United SC win on 2026-08-01?No won
- Will Nashville SC win on 2026-08-01?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.