Fifa International · resolved market
Montenegro vs. Slovenia: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7675de53c9fee304d71931538c19a58919b9b742a7685a068ee99c50a1d06f67
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,359
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,997
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,359 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 55c | 1,256$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.44 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Over | 41c | 742.54$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.1 | 304 | 31.3%95 W · 209 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Over | 43c | 649.84$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.51 | 175 | 35.4%62 W · 113 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 42c | 560.67$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.19 | 368 | 50.3%185 W · 183 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 70c | 425.4$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.43 | 293 | 43%126 W · 167 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Over | 30c | 380.4$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.28 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed Over | 56c | 369.64$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.64 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +8.8wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 12c | 227.31$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.71 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Under | 58c | 212.74$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.11 | 237 | 49.8%118 W · 119 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a97…72ebbacked Under | 59c | 201.72$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.09 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 59c | 195.66$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.21 | 864 | 55.3%478 W · 386 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 59c | 190.66$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.01 | 508 | 50%254 W · 254 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 56c | 186.3$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.8 | 740 | 34.1%252 W · 488 L | -36.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4306…618abacked Under | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 42c | 164.31$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.3 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1030…dd7abacked Under | 58c | 153.53$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.05 | 109 | 58.7%64 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 59c | 130.4$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.99 | 414 | 51.4%213 W · 201 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under | 58c | 128.69$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.64 | 171 | 58.5%100 W · 71 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 43c | 126.81$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.81 | 823 | 40.9%337 W · 486 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 59c | 118.13$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.4 | 246 | 53.3%131 W · 115 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Over | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 82 | 37.8%31 W · 51 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 159 | 45.3%72 W · 87 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a95…23cfbacked Under | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +3.9wins | +0.24per pick | 32cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 14c | 97.87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e52…2320backed Over | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 504 | 50.2%253 W · 251 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Over | 38c | 66$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.92 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 44c | 60.5$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.61 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 43c | 44$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.08 | 465 | 36.1%168 W · 297 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 57c | 41.9$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.71 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 36c | 36$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.01 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 43c | 35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.95 | 363 | 29.8%108 W · 255 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbed…6221backed Under | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Over | 43c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 201 | 56.2%113 W · 88 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over | 44c | 23.83$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.34 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Under | 58c | 22.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.01 | 86 | 59.3%51 W · 35 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Under | 59c | 21.95$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Under | 57c | 21.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 101 | 53.5%54 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ca…e04dbacked Under | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 59 | 72.9%43 W · 16 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 55c | 18.58$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.41 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Montenegro vs. Slovenia: O/U 2.5this page
- Montenegro vs. Slovenia: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Montenegro vs. Slovenia: O/U 1.5Over won
- Montenegro vs. Slovenia: O/U 3.5Over won
- Montenegro vs. Slovenia: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Montenegro (-2.5)Slovenia won
- Spread: Slovenia (-1.5)Montenegro won
- Spread: Slovenia (-2.5)Montenegro won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.