Fifa International · resolved market
Montenegro vs. Slovenia: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x293c6badcae9387926799534e2c281150f2a8170ac9c2e96d3707baff2747caf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,038
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,069
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,038 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Under | 2c | 872.57$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.73 | 64 | 6.3%4 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 21c | 523.81$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.81 | 454 | 28%127 W · 327 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 74c | 407.52$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.2 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed Over | 29c | 403.45$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.45 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +8.8wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 56c | 312$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.28 | 356 | 58.7%209 W · 147 L | +35.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +28%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 72c | 268$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.04 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e52…2320backed Over | 45c | 224.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.5 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb7f…0abbbacked Over | 78c | 177.55$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.63 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 64c | 161.89$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.24 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef8a…7035backed Over | 78c | 140.04$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.33 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 44c | 139$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.16 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 24c | 134.33$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.37 | 740 | 34.1%252 W · 488 L | -36.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 24c | 125$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 308 | 36%111 W · 197 L | -17.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 23c | 108.7$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.7 | 823 | 40.9%337 W · 486 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over | 28c | 80.59$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.03 | 171 | 58.5%100 W · 71 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 44c | 69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.36 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 77c | 51.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.96 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 22c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 363 | 29.8%108 W · 255 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x811c…fd36backed Under | 80c | 50$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 187 | 69.5%130 W · 57 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Over | 77c | 48$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 41c | 44.79$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.16 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ccb…6e97backed Under | 79c | 37.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbed…6221backed Under | 79c | 25.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Under | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 77c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Under | 80c | 13.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 86 | 59.3%51 W · 35 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Montenegro vs. Slovenia: O/U 3.5this page
- Montenegro vs. Slovenia: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Montenegro vs. Slovenia: O/U 1.5Over won
- Montenegro vs. Slovenia: O/U 2.5Over won
- Montenegro vs. Slovenia: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Montenegro (-2.5)Slovenia won
- Spread: Slovenia (-1.5)Montenegro won
- Spread: Slovenia (-2.5)Montenegro won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.