Fifa International · resolved market
Montenegro vs. Slovenia: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3fb4c74f9da86efbaba2a2e29acaeb60a61cd9a7dcb8f119d40c9106b4f8b1a3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,026
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,898
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,026 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes | 51c | 2,007$1,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980.19 | 175 | 44%77 W · 98 L | +9.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 46c | 1,366$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.24 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8df8…59ddbacked No | 49c | 700.98$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed Yes | 65c | 338.91$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.91 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +8.8wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 48c | 330.48$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.15 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x006a…14edbacked Yes | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed No | 52c | 179.96$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.47 | 328 | 55.8%183 W · 145 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 38c | 161.67$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.67 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Yes | 63c | 160$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 97 | 59.8%58 W · 39 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 50c | 152.05$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.02 | 368 | 50.3%185 W · 183 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked Yes | 48c | 150$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4306…618abacked No | 51c | 147.06$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 48c | 145$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.6 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb7f…0abbbacked Yes | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e52…2320backed Yes | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes | 51c | 70$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.3 | 504 | 50.2%253 W · 251 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 48c | 56$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.88 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 45c | 53.75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 40c | 52.41$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.64 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 150 | 46.7%70 W · 80 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes | 50c | 35.77$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.77 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…522fbacked No | 42c | 35.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 37c | 32.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 831 | 53.3%443 W · 388 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed No | 37c | 32.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 387 | 45%174 W · 213 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked No | 50c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 175 | 35.4%62 W · 113 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x858e…a4abbacked Yes | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 50c | 29.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked No | 49c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 101 | 53.5%54 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5937…3eedbacked No | 52c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8179…bd84backed No | 52c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Yes | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 117 | 75.2%88 W · 29 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5292…ca25backed Yes | 48c | 24.04$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7f…0a4abacked Yes | 48c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9012…f7a2backed No | 52c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca1…96cbbacked No | 52c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3fc…bb64backed No | 52c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8cf…741abacked No | 52c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc821…6957backed Yes | 48c | 23.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc637…e858backed Yes | 48c | 23.51$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64a9…f6ccbacked Yes | 48c | 23.43$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…92d9backed No | 52c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b1…4ac1backed No | 52c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x860e…94b0backed Yes | 48c | 22.68$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x902b…0356backed Yes | 48c | 22.03$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.46 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed No | 48c | 21.76$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59d1…3d29backed Yes | 48c | 21.23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a55…6e44backed No | 52c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90e7…5e83backed No | 52c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd286…d979backed No | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…7fe3backed Yes | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd5…42a9backed No | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Montenegro vs. Slovenia: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Montenegro vs. Slovenia: O/U 1.5Over won
- Montenegro vs. Slovenia: O/U 2.5Over won
- Montenegro vs. Slovenia: O/U 3.5Over won
- Montenegro vs. Slovenia: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Montenegro (-2.5)Slovenia won
- Spread: Slovenia (-1.5)Montenegro won
- Spread: Slovenia (-2.5)Montenegro won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.