Tennis · resolved market
Palermo: Alevtina Ibragimova vs Alice Rame
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7680158b9636343acfe965f875c507801e9255b1de718e2e19ccfd9d8d23c4cb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alevtina Ibragimovaof Alevtina Ibragimova, Alice Rame
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,484
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,653
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,484 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Alice Rame | 4c | 6,812$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.77 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Alice Rame | 5c | 3,789$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.67 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Alice Rame | 11c | 2,163$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.79 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Alice Rame | 5c | 1,875$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.16 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Alice Rame | 5c | 1,514$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.26 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed Alice Rame | 5c | 1,376$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1,023 | 41.3%422 W · 601 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Alice Rame | 14c | 1,340$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.02 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0710…06bebacked Alice Rame | 4c | 1,042$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.47 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -57%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Alice Rame | 5c | 880.56$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.55 | 291 | 49.5%144 W · 147 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c0…22ebbacked Alice Rame | 4c | 400$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 405 | 27.2%110 W · 295 L | -17.2wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3556…af4fbacked Alice Rame | 6c | 382.33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.94 | 277 | 24.9%69 W · 208 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Alice Rame | 4c | 354$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 1,365 | 43.3%591 W · 774 L | -26.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Alice Rame | 24c | 304.64$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.68 | 185 | 42.7%79 W · 106 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Alice Rame | 5c | 256.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.93 | 877 | 41.3%362 W · 515 L | -14.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2c…2151backed Alice Rame | 6c | 216.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 389 | 11.6%45 W · 344 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Alice Rame | 12c | 189.76$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.24 | 2,855 | 49.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2262…21a1backed Alice Rame | 12c | 151.55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 763 | 55.6%424 W · 339 L | +29.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Alice Rame | 24c | 144.52$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.39 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ca1…2f58backed Alice Rame | 11c | 128.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Alice Rame | 25c | 92.57$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.14 | 852 | 50%426 W · 426 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Alice Rame | 25c | 87.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Alevtina Ibragimova | 75c | 78$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe022…7d0fbacked Alice Rame | 25c | 78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 168 | 33.9%57 W · 111 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd1…f311backed Alice Rame | 26c | 75.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6847…f1eabacked Alevtina Ibragimova | 76c | 64.96$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.59 | 137 | 70.1%96 W · 41 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Alevtina Ibragimova | 76c | 53.34$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.59 | 1,021 | 57.8%590 W · 431 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Alevtina Ibragimova | 75c | 46.42$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 1,624 | 49.8%809 W · 815 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Alice Rame | 22c | 46.11$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe01…b45dbacked Alevtina Ibragimova | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 223 | 77.6%173 W · 50 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 77cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11a2…0532backed Alevtina Ibragimova | 75c | 26.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 205 | 70.7%145 W · 60 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00c5…b5e9backed Alevtina Ibragimova | 76c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 231 | 62.8%145 W · 86 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Alevtina Ibragimova | 75c | 21.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…1701backed Alevtina Ibragimova | 75c | 20.7$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.12 | 96 | 56.3%54 W · 42 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea32…8870backed Alevtina Ibragimova | 75c | 15.05$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.76 | 101 | 59.4%60 W · 41 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.