Euroleague · resolved market
KK Crvena Zvezda vs. Anadolu Efes
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x769f65a51f484b93e8b836224499877ef380d0db3ef06500ce7008e2ac92a0be
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- KK Crvena Zvezdaof KK Crvena Zvezda, Anadolu Efes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,593
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,627
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,593 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Anadolu Efes | 28c | 1,601$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.37 | 316 | 51.6%163 W · 153 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked KK Crvena Zvezda | 76c | 967.13$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.96 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked KK Crvena Zvezda | 72c | 956.04$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.69 | 120 | 40.8%49 W · 71 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Anadolu Efes | 22c | 763.2$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.44 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Anadolu Efes | 29c | 590.72$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.22 | 314 | 46.2%145 W · 169 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked KK Crvena Zvezda | 78c | 438$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.81 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked KK Crvena Zvezda | 72c | 429.56$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.62 | 275 | 57.5%158 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d4…f46cbacked Anadolu Efes | 23c | 427.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.01 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3d…3ec1backed Anadolu Efes | 29c | 206.35$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.11 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -26%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Anadolu Efes | 27c | 200$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 74c | 184.61$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.35 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Anadolu Efes | 27c | 176.58$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.68 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Anadolu Efes | 10c | 168$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked KK Crvena Zvezda | 69c | 161.67$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.33 | 352 | 34.7%122 W · 230 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3cb…ef82backed Anadolu Efes | 21c | 157$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.46 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Anadolu Efes | 29c | 145$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.65 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Anadolu Efes | 29c | 137.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd824…8d96backed Anadolu Efes | 27c | 102.16$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 79c | 86.39$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.77 | 369 | 39.8%147 W · 222 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Anadolu Efes | 27c | 85.55$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd80f…92febacked Anadolu Efes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…a4f0backed Anadolu Efes | 27c | 73.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca8…7c13backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed Anadolu Efes | 27c | 62$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -11%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Anadolu Efes | 21c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 370 | 52.7%195 W · 175 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Anadolu Efes | 28c | 59.54$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 214 | 44.4%95 W · 119 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ba…695abacked Anadolu Efes | 30c | 53.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Anadolu Efes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Anadolu Efes | 24c | 47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a3…9f83backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 74c | 39.72$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1888…fa13backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 74c | 31.08$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…899bbacked KK Crvena Zvezda | 69c | 29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.09 | 209 | 36.4%76 W · 133 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 65c | 22.06$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.72 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc89…6b96backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 67cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.