Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: YFP Gaming vs Division One (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 2 Swiss Stage Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x76a66ea96f8f3d33872992b1791457900e1a8e5db2805a1815201fd43e2e32dd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- YFP Gamingof YFP Gaming, Division One
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,658
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,658 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x697f…b756backed YFP Gaming | 57c | 1,135$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.17 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…01b9backed Division One | 43c | 874.42$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Division One | 16c | 500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 234 | 47%110 W · 124 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…59bcbacked Division One | 42c | 450$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Division One | 30c | 433.29$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.61 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed YFP Gaming | 58c | 429.99$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.6 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba38…e406backed YFP Gaming | 56c | 405.06$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.22 | 547 | 51.2%280 W · 267 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Division One | 44c | 388.64$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked YFP Gaming | 58c | 371$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.82 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…3c72backed Division One | 43c | 260.87$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.17 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5489…1633backed YFP Gaming | 61c | 257.38$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.38 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked YFP Gaming | 55c | 254.11$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.85 | 781 | 62%484 W · 297 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40ad…2e4ebacked Division One | 42c | 216$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Division One | 57c | 180$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.63 | 811 | 34.9%283 W · 528 L | -60.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed YFP Gaming | 58c | 171.91$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.2 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6041…3326backed Division One | 42c | 153$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.26 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Division One | 35c | 115.11$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.53 | 231 | 46.8%108 W · 123 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Division One | 22c | 104.55$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dde…5e80backed Division One | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Division One | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 257 | 45.9%118 W · 139 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca5…7a68backed Division One | 42c | 88$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.96 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Division One | 45c | 80$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 544 | 39.9%217 W · 327 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed YFP Gaming | 52c | 65.94$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.94 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Division One | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -8.3wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed YFP Gaming | 34c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Division One | 44c | 36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 664 | 38.1%253 W · 411 L | -31.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3d…f35abacked YFP Gaming | 53c | 22.45$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.45 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: YFP Gaming vs Division One (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 2 Swiss Stage Group Stagethis page
- Valorant: YFP Gaming vs Division One - Map 1 WinnerYFP Gaming won
- Valorant: YFP Gaming vs Division One - Map 2 WinnerYFP Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.